NFL Week 7 Early Parlay Odds, Picks & Predictions (2023)

by Nick MacDonald |
Oct 17, 2023

It has now been back–to–back weeks of hitting two out of three legs on our featured parlay. One of the legs that did hit was the New England Patriots Under. Until the offense shows some sign of life, I will keep leaning into betting against them.

With that in mind, let’s get to all three legs of the Early Week Parlay for Week 7.

NFL Week 7 Early Parlay

(Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)

Leg 1: Detroit Lions +3.0 @ Baltimore Ravens (-110)

The Detroit Lions are tied for a league-best record of 5-1. It feels weird to write that, but I've triple-checked. It’s true. As a fan of one of the other sad teams in the NFC North, one thing I will be cheering for the rest of the year is Detroit's offensive coordinator, Ben Johnson, to do such a good job that any AFC team hires him.

The Lions’ only loss this year came in overtime against the Seattle Seahawks. They've won the four games since by at least 14 points. The Lions are sixth in the league in point differential, playing well on both sides of the ball. In seventh place in points differential are the Baltimore Ravens.

The Ravens come into Week 7 with a 4-2 record. Since Week 2, the Ravens have alternated wins and losses each week. This makes it tough to gauge how they will do week–to–week. Coming into the season, there was a lot of excitement for the potential new offensive scheme for the Ravens, but so far, they have looked the same as they have over the past few seasons. The fact that Detroit has been the more consistent team and is getting the points leads me to think they are the best bet for this game.

Leg 2: Buffalo Bills @ New England Patriots Under 41.5 (-110)

I don't like to ever bet the Under for Buffalo Bills games. Josh Allen can have a huge game, and they can hit the game total by themselves any week. But there are some variables to consider for this Week 7 game.

First, the injuries are mounting for the Bills. Josh Allen is likely to start but is dealing with a shoulder injury. One thing teams try to do when their quarterback is injured is have them take fewer hits. If Allen is hampered and not rushing as much, I believe it limits the potency of this offense.

Second, and most importantly, the Bills are playing the New England Patriots this week. The Patriots’ offense has looked awful this season. I don't trust this offense to be even competent. Until I see anything remotely successful from them, my lean will be the Under for any New England game.

Leg 3: Pittsburgh Steelers @ Los Angeles Rams Under 43.5 (-110)

The 3-2 Pittsburgh Steelers will travel to Los Angeles to play the 3-3 Rams. Road games in Los Angeles for teams like Pittsburgh, who may have the best traveling fans in the league, often feel like home games. I expect it to be loud for the Steelers while they are on defense in SoFi Stadium.

The Steelers’ offense is averaging 15.8 points per game this year. They are coming off a bye, but even with the extra preparation time, I don't feel confident in a Kenny Pickett vs. Aaron Donald matchup being the stage for the Steelers’ offense to break out.

The Rams’ offense averages 23 points per game, but the injuries are piling up for the running back room. Adam Schefter is reporting that Kyren Williams is expected to miss this Week 7 matchup with an ankle injury. I don't like Matthew Stafford and the Rams' chances to score many points when T.J. Watt can rush the passer without much concern for the run game.

Three–Leg Parlay Odds: (+595)

Make sure to check out our other best bets for Tuesday:

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