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NFL Week 7 Same Game Parlay Odds, Picks & Predictions (2022)

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Each week, I’ll provide my favorite Sunday parlay and my favorite same-game parlay options for each game. Without further ado, here are this week’s parlay picks.

Week 7 Parlay

  • Leg 1: Seahawks +5.5
  • Leg 2: Buccaneers-Panthers Under 39.5
  • Leg 3: Jets-Broncos Under 38

Odds: +595 on DraftKings Sportsbook

Full disclosure, this might be my least favorite betting board of the NFL season thus far. The Seahawks are my favorite side, especially if a +6 re-emerges. The Chargers’ offensive line is battered, making life easier for a Seattle defense that showed strides last week.

A divisional rock fight could be in store between the Bucs and Panthers. Tampa’s offense is still a mess due to shoddy offensive line play, while Carolina sports a pretty steady defense to go with an awful offense led by P.J. Walker, who isn’t a starter in this league.

Finally, have you seen Denver’s offense lately? Both the Jets’ and Broncos’ defenses rank in the top 12 in DVOA. Points will be at a premium.

Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans (-2.5) | Total 42

  • Leg 1: Colts +2.5
  • Leg 2: Michael Pittman over 5.5 receptions

Odds: +267 on DraftKings

The Colts closed as 4-point favorites at home three weeks ago against Tennessee. Now, Indy is getting nearly a field goal at Nissan Stadium? This line difference doesn’t really add up. Sure, the Titans got the better of Indianapolis in the first meeting and are coming off a bye. But Tennessee is still a rather mediocre team that ranks 19th and 17th in offensive and defensive DVOA, respectively. As for Indianapolis’ offense, the team finally realized that the offense is much better when Michael Pittman is heavily involved. While much of his receiving work is of the shorter variety, Pittman should get plenty of volume and beat this prop.

New York Giants at Jacksonville Jaguars (-3) | Total 43

  • Leg 1: Jaguars -3
  • Leg 2: Travis Etienne over 46.5 rushing + receiving yards

Odds: +274 on DraftKings

Another game I don’t really love. But this feels like a good opportunity to buy low on Jacksonville and sell high on the Giants. Despite this losing skid, Jacksonville still ranks 11th in the league in yards per play, while the 5-1 Giants rank 22nd. Etienne has seen his usage grow the last two games as he’s piled up 71 and 86 yards rushing his last time out. He should have no problem exceeding this prop, as I suspect he’s becoming Jacksonville’s featured back.

Detroit Lions at Dallas Cowboys (-7) | Total 49

  • Leg 1: Lions +7
  • Leg 2: Dak Prescott under 34 pass attempts

Odds: +220 on DraftKings

Another game that I just don’t feel great about. The Cowboys are supposedly getting Dak Prescott back. Could he come back rusty? I’m expecting Dallas to ease him into things and limit his attempts early, as Dallas’ defense should prevent this from becoming a shootout. That being said, the Lions are desperate, healthier, and off a bye and could keep this within the number.

Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens (-6.5) | Total 45.5_

  • Leg 1: Over 45.5
  • Leg 2: Nick Chubb over 71.5 rushing yards
  • Leg 3: Lamar Jackson over 217.5 passing yards

Odds: +546 on DraftKings

This could be a high-scoring affair between these two AFC North rivals. The Ravens rank 24th in rush defense DVOA, while Cleveland’s defense is in complete disarray, ranking 31st in total defensive DVOA. The stars should thrive on both sides.

Atlanta Falcons at Cincinnati Bengals (-6.5) | Total 47.5

  • Leg 1: Bengals -6.5
  • Leg 2: Joe Mixon over 70.5 rushing yards
  • Leg 3: Marcus Mariota under 190.5 passing yards

Odds: +543 on DraftKings

The Falcons are a perfect 6-0 against the spread, but that streak could come to an end this weekend. Atlanta has gotten away with a couple of fortunate covers during that run. And Cincinnati’s offense should run all over a Falcons defense that ranks 25th in rush defense DVOA. That bodes well for Mixon, who could have a huge day. The Bengals’ defense has been stout this year, ranking eighth in pass defense DVOA. Mariota hasn’t cleared this number in three straight weeks.

Green Bay Packers (-4.5) at Washington Commanders | Total 41.5

  • Leg 1: Commanders +4.5
  • Leg 2: Brian Robinson over 52.5 rushing yards
  • Leg 3: Allen Lazard anytime TD scorer

Odds: +995 on DraftKings

This game is gross, but the recent line movement suggests the Commanders are on the sharp side. An offense that ranks 30th in yards per play could actually benefit from losing Carson Wentz and swapping him with Taylor Heinicke. The Commanders also should be able to run on a Packers defense that’s been soft on the ground and ranks dead last in rush defense DVOA. Lastly, it’s clear that Lazard is Aaron Rodgers’ go-to target in the end zone, as he’s scored in four of his last five games.

New York Jets at Denver Broncos (-1.5) | Total 38 

  • Leg 1: Under 38
  • Leg 2: Russell Wilson under 227.5 passing yards

Odds: +261 on DraftKings

This game is going to be a defensive struggle. Both offenses rank outside the top 20 in DVOA. Both defenses rank inside the top 12. Denver is 18th in yards per play, and New York is 20th. And I just need to see a good performance from Russ before I can stop fading him. No props have been released for Zach Wilson yet, but I’d also take his under passing yardage total once it comes out.

Seattle Seahawks at Los Angeles Chargers (-5.5) | Total 50.5

  • Leg 1: Seahawks +5.5
  • Leg 2: Over 50.5
  • Leg 3: Justin Herbert over 1.5 touchdown passes

Odds: +471 on DraftKings

Houston Texans at Las Vegas Raiders (-7) | Total 45.5

  • Leg 1; Raiders -7
  • Leg 2: Josh Jacobs over 81.5 rushing yards
  • Leg 3: Davante Adams anytime TD

Odds: +579 on DraftKings

This feels like it could be a get-right spot for a Raiders team that’s better than its 1-4 record indicates. They should be able to run effectively against a Texans defense that ranks 29th in run defense DVOA. And while Jacobs does the work between the 20s, Adams should cash in, as he’s scored in four of his first five games.

Kansas City Chiefs (-2.5) at San Francisco 49ers | Total 48.5

  • Leg 1: 49ers +2.5
  • Leg 2: Over 48.5
  • Leg 3: George Kittle anytime TD

Odds: +1047 on DraftKings

This feels like the right spot to back the 49ers coming home after a loss as a short underdog. However, questions surrounding injuries on the defense have me hesitant. I will take the over, however, as San Francisco’s passing game ranks 7th in DVOA, while the Chiefs rank 28th in pass defense DVOA. Kittle could be a big beneficiary, as K.C. has given up four TDs to tight ends.

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