NFL Week 8 Player Prop Bets: Taysom Hill, Kareem Hunt, A.J. Brown, Nico Collins
Here are all of my favorite NFL player prop bets for Week 8. Below we dive into a few notable players.
NFL Week 8 Player Prop Bets
All odds are courtesy of DraftKings, as of Thursday night.
Taysom Hill OVER 10.5 rushing yards
Derek Carr's ongoing struggles have boosted the usage of Hill, as the Saints' coaching staff desperately looks for ways to move the chains. Over the last two weeks, Hill has logged season-high snap shares of 60% and 58%. He only had one carry for 2 yards in Week 6, but Hill had five carries for 18 yards last week. Hill has cleared this number in 4-of-7 games and is averaging 4.1 carries and 20.0 rushing yards per contest. In Week 8, Hill will face the Colts, who have a middle-of-the-road run defense. It's possible that Hill could win you this bet on his first carry. But I do expect him to get more than just one sip at the saucer.
Kareem Hunt UNDER 46.5 rushing yards
After Browns RB Jerome Ford injured his ankle last week, Pierre Strong played more snaps and had more touches than Kareem Hunt in the remainder of the Browns' 39-38 win over the Colts. Hunt has been dealing with a thigh issue that kept him out of practice on Wednesday (he was back on Thursday), so the Browns seem to be cautiously managing his workload. It makes sense, since Hunt was unsigned this summer and didn't go through training camp. It seems unlikely Hunt will get more than 13-14 rushing attempts this week, and he'll be getting his carries against a vastly improved Seattle run defense that ranks third in DVOA against the run and is giving up 56.5 rushing yards per game and 2.9 yards per carry to opposing RBs.
A.J. Brown OVER 88.5 receiving yards
Let's play the hot hand here. Brown has racked up 127 or more receiving yards in five consecutive games, and he gets an excellent matchup this week. He'll face a Washington defense that has given up the second-most receiving yards per game (191.0) to wide receivers. Opposing WRs are averaging a whopping 10.4 yards per target against the Commanders. When A.J. Brown faced Washington in Week 4, he caught 9-of-13 targets for 175 yards.
Nico Collins OVER 55.5 receiving yards
Collins has been an efficiency monster this season, averaging a league-leading 18.9 yards per catch and an absurd 13.0 yards per target. He's averaging 91.2 receiving yards per contest and has cleared this number in 4-of-6 games. Collins should also have some great individual matchups when he faces the Panthers on Sunday. He'll be running most of his routes against either C.J. Henderson or Donte Jackson. Henderson is allowing 2.30 yards per route run into his coverage — a sky-high number — and a passer rating of 128.1. Jackson is giving up 1.89 yards per route run into his coverage and yielding a passer rating of 146.3. Collins is poised to go off this weekend.
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