NFL Week 8 Same Game Parlay Odds, Picks & Predictions (Sunday)
Each week, Iâll provide my favorite Sunday parlay and my favorite same-game parlay options for each game. Without further ado, here are this weekâs parlay picks.
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Week 8 Parlay
- Leg 1: Detroit Lions +3.5
- Leg 2: Arizona Cardinals +3.5
- Leg 3: Under 40.5 Jets-Patriots
Odds: +611
Rather than going the moneyline parlay route, I decided to parlay my three favorite sides and totals of the weekend. This feels like a good buy-low spot on the Lions, as last weekâs 24-6 loss to Dallas wasnât indicative of how close the game really was. Plus, the Miami Dolphins feel a little overrated after beating the Pittsburgh Steelers in an ugly fashion. With DâAndre Swift and Amon-Ra St. Brown healthy, Iâd expect Detroitâs offense to get cooking at home.
Iâm taking a stab at Kliff Kingsburyâs Cardinals against a Vikings team thatâs coming off a bye but feels like an overrated 5-1 squad. The key will be an Arizona defense getting healthier and playing better since its Week 1 blowout loss to Kansas City. The Cardinals rank 21st in DVOA but sixth against the run.
Finally, Iâm picking on Zach Wilson and Mac Jones in a game that could be extremely ugly. Neither offense moves the ball well, and you know Bill Belichick will have his defense ready to play after last weekâs embarrassing effort.
Jacksonville Jaguars (-2.5) vs. Denver Broncos, Total 39.5
- Leg 1: Under 39.5
- Leg 2: Travis Etienne over 69.5 rushing yards
- Leg 3: Courtland Sutton over 52.5 receiving yards
Odds: +525
This game has the makings of being a low-scoring affair. I need to see it before I trust this Broncos offense, even with Russell Wilson back under center. However, the Jaguars rank just 18th in pass defense DVOA, opening the door to Courtland Suttonâs bounce-back game. As for Travis Etienne, the backfield is now his with James Robinson in New York. Heâs topped this total in his last three games and gets a Denver defense thatâs vulnerable against the run.
Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons (-4.5), Total 41.5
- Leg 1: Under 41.5
- Leg 2: D.J. Moore over 58.5 receiving yards
- Leg 3: Drake London under 38.5 receiving yards
Odds: +603
I bet this total at 42 and still like it down to 41. Atlanta enters the game with a banged-up secondary, and they wonât have A.J. Terrell. While Iâm not convinced P.J. Walker is good enough to exploit it, I liked what I saw between him and D.J. Moore last week and am willing to ride that connection again. Drake London was held to one catch in last weekâs loss and has topped this total just once in his last four outings.
Miami Dolphins (-3.5) at Detroit Lions, Total 51.5
- Leg 1: Lions +3.5
- Leg 2: Over 51.5
- Leg 3: Tyreek Hill over 86 receiving yards
Odds: +577
Again, this feels like a great buy-low, sell-high spot on two teams that feel relatively even. I do like the probability of points, and we could be in store for another Detroit shootout. The Lions rank 31st in pass defense DVOA, which makes me feel great about Tyreek Hill going over this prop.
Arizona Cardinals at Minnesota Vikings (-3.5), Total 49
Player props had not been released for this game. However, I would parlay the Cardinals plus the points and a DeAndre Hopkins over yardage prop. His return paid big dividends last Thursday night, and heâll face a Vikings secondary thatâs just 21st in pass defense DVOA.
New England Patriots (-2.5) at New York Jets, Total 40.5
- Leg 1: Under 40.5
- Leg 2: Zach Wilson anytime INT
- Leg 3: Zach Wilson under 220.5 passing yards
Odds: +642
You can pretty much tell where Iâm going with this one. Both offenses rank outside the top 20 in DVOA, while both defenses rank inside the top 10. Expect another ugly game involving the Jets, who have been winning despite lackluster play from their QB. Zach Wilson has kept it clean since his return game against Pittsburgh in Week 4. I think the streak ends here against Belichick. Wilson also hasnât topped 220 passing yards in his last three games.
Pittsburgh Steelers at Philadelphia Eagles (-10.5), Total 43.5
- Leg 1: Under 43.5
- Leg 2: Kenny Pickett Under 217.5 passing yards
Odds: +253
This is not my favorite game on the Week 8 board. However, I expect the Pittsburgh offense to struggle mightily against a Philly defense that ranks fourth in DVOA and 2nd in pass defense DVOA. That spells bad news for Kenny Pickett and Pittsburgh in a hostile environment. However, the Steelers will bring their lunch pails on defense too, and this game could become an ugly slugfest.
Las Vegas Raiders (-1) at New Orleans Saints, Total 49.5
This is another game filled with uncertainty. On the surface, it sets up for an explosive affair, as both defenses rank outside the top 20 in DVOA. However, Raiders star receiver Davante Adams hasnât practiced this week due to an illness, throwing the prop market into question. My play here would be the over 49.5 points and an over on Adamsâ receptions and receiving yards, assuming Saints cornerback Marshon Lattimore doesnât go.
Chicago Bears at Dallas Cowboys (-9.5), Total 43.5
- Leg 1: Cowboys -9.5
- Leg 2: Tony Pollard over 37.5 rushing yards
- Leg 3: Dak Prescott over 1.5 passing TDs
Odds: +567
Itâs rare for me to lay nearly double digits, but this feels like a good spot to buy the Cowboys and fade the Bears, who are coming off a stunning road victory over New England on a short week. Specifically, I want to isolate the Dallas running game against a Bears defense that ranks 24th in run defense DVOA. With Ezekiel Elliott unlikely to play, this prop is way too low on Pollard. Iâd also expect Prescott to throw for a couple of scores after shaking off the rust last week.
Tennessee Titans (-2.5) at Houston Texans, Total 40.5
- Leg 1: Under 40.5
- Leg 2: Derrick Henry over 98.5 rushing yards
Odds: +247
This is another game I donât really want any part of. Ryan Tannehill could be injured for Tennessee, and it might not matter. Derrick Henry should eat against a Texans defense that ranks dead last in rush defense DVOA. However, the Titansâ offense is averaging just 19 points per game thus far and has one of the worst receiving corps in the league. This should be an ugly divisional contest you wonât want to watch.
San Francisco 49ers (-1.5) at Los Angeles Rams, Total 43
This game has a very limited prop menu as of writing, as there are injury concerns on both sides. However, Kyle Shanahan has Sean McVayâs number, and Iâd expect his superior team to win the battle in the trenches. Iâll take the Niners -1.5 and an over on Christian McCaffreyâs rushing yardage total.
Washington Commanders at Indianapolis Colts (-3), Total 39.5
- Leg 1: Washington +3
- Leg 2: Under 39.5
- Leg 3: Under Jonathan Taylor rushing yards
Once again, there is uncertainty with the prop market for this game as Indianapolis makes the change from Matt Ryan to Sam Ehlinger. Iâll gladly take the field goal with road underdogs. Iâd also hit a Jonathan Taylor under, as Washington ranks 4th in run defense DVOA.
New York Giants at Seattle Seahawks (-3), Total 44.5
- Leg 1: Seahawks -3
- Leg 2: Kenneth Walker over rushing yards
Another game without a prop menu this late in the week. However, I suspect New Yorkâs run ending in Seattle. The Seahawks have proven to be a legitimately decent team, if not better. And New York canât ride this run of luck forever. The G-men are a good team, but theyâve been fortunate to come away with a few wins as of late. Walker should lead the way against a Giants defense thatâs 30th in run defense DVOA.
Green Bay Packers at Buffalo Bills (-11.5), Total 48
- Leg 1: Packers +11.5
- Leg 2: Josh Allen under 276.5 passing yards
Odds: +259
Is this the bottom of the market for Green Bay? I sure hope so. A couple of weeks ago, you wouldâve laughed if I told you Aaron Rodgers was getting 11.5 points. But the Packers have struggled mightily as of late. However, did you know their offense still ranks 10th in DVOA despite that? Also, Green Bayâs bend-donât-break defensive scheme is suitable for this type of matchup. The Packersâ defense should be highly motivated and prevent Buffaloâs offense from making big plays, capping Josh Allenâs upside.
And check out our Week 8 game previews and picks:
- Broncos vs. Jaguars
- Panthers vs. Falcons
- Bears vs. Cowboys
- Dolphins vs. Lions
- Cardinals vs. Vikings
- Raiders vs. Saints
- Patriots vs. Jets
- Steelers vs. Eagles
- Titans vs. Texans
- Commanders vs. Colts
- 49ers vs. Rams
- Giants vs. Seahawks
- Packers vs. Bills
- Bengals vs. Browns
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