NFL Week 9 Composite Power Ratings (2024)

Each week, I compile power ratings from a bevy of respected sources across the NFL handicapping community. Power ratings are designed to identify how many points a team would be favored by against an average team on a neutral field. By calculating the difference in ratings between the two teams (and adjusting for home-field advantage), you can get a ratings-implied spread to compare to the actual spread. In the second section, I’ve done that while assuming a value of 1.5 points for home-field advantage and using the composite spread from all the sources. Additionally, I’ve provided some comments on trends and numbers that stood out to me.

Week 9 NFL Composite Power Ratings

• What a difference a week (and a quarterback change) makes. The Cleveland Browns upset their division rival Baltimore Ravens on Sunday in Jameis Winston’s first start for the team. While he’ll still come with his lumps, he’s brought new energy to this team and has certainly raised the ceiling of what the offense can produce. They may not make the playoffs, but they’ll be a frisky team the rest of the way.
• The top of the AFC playoff picture is going to be fascinating for the rest of the season. There’s a clear tier of teams in the Ravens, Chiefs, and Bills who would be at least four-point favorites over any other AFC team (on a neutral field).

Week 9 Matchups

• You’ll notice above that the Saints got a big bump in their rating. That’s due to the (likely) return of Derek Carr. That said, not every rating source has that baked into their number, so be cautious tailing the dreadful Panthers based on the chart above.