NHL Stanley Cup Final Picks & Predictions: Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights (Game 4)
The 2026 Stanley Cup Final is off to a legendary start, with each of the first three games between the Carolina Hurricanes (1-2) and the Vegas Golden Knights (2-1) featuring a multi-goal deficit being erased. This includes Saturday's epic Game 3, where the Hurricanes came back from 4-0, but ultimately lost 5-4 in double overtime. At this point, the Knights are a -190 favorite to hoist the Stanley Cup, while the Canes sit at +155 on the series price. I've got you covered if you're looking to get some action on Game 4. Below, I'll dive into the key stats and trends, and dive into my top NHL Stanley Cup Final picks for this pivotal matchup. Puck drop is scheduled for 8:00 p.m. ET from T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV.
Tuesday’s Best NHL Stanley Cup Final Picks
(Odds courtesy of BetMGM)
Carolina Hurricanes (-115) vs. Vegas Golden Knights (-105) | O/U 6.0 (-110/-110)
The oddsmakers have this game listed in the pick’em range, with the Hurricanes being the slimmest of favorites (-115). The Golden Knights come back at -105 to take a commanding 3-1 series lead.
The total is set at a flat six goals, juiced -110 each way. It's worth noting that there have been at least five combined goals in each of the five regular-season and postseason meetings between these teams, with the over going 4-1-0 in those five matchups. The average head-to-head contest between Carolina and Vegas has produced 7.8 goals in 2025-26.
As for my best bet in Game 4, I'm riding with the Golden Knights on the Moneyline. Vegas remains undervalued by the sports betting market. I mean, how can they not be favorites in their own arena in a Stanley Cup game? The Knights have owned the Hurricanes this season as well, going 4-0-1 against them in their five meetings.
Additionally, Vegas has become a powerhouse under head coach John Tortorella, going 21-4-2 since he took the reins a couple of months ago. They're 8-0-1 in their last nine games overall and 6-1-0 in their last seven home games.
The Golden Knights also bring in the top offense in the playoffs, scoring 3.5 goals per 60 minutes. Their power-play unit is cashing at a solid 21.82% rate this postseason, which is much better than the Hurricanes' mark of 15.62%.
With the Golden Knights dominating offensively and getting contributions up and down the lineup, I have to back them. I also think their home-ice edge and recent form will be too much for the Hurricanes to overcome.
Carolina just doesn’t have the superstar presence to get them over the hump. I'm taking the red-hot Knights at a favorable moneyline price.
Bet: Golden Knights Moneyline (-105)