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PGA Championship 2022: Colin Morikawa Betting Odds, Preview, & Prediction

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This week, the second major of 2022 gets underway in Tulsa, Oklahoma, where Southern Hills Country Club hosts the 104th annual PGA Championship.

Temperatures have been steamy in Tulsa, but the tournament forecast looks agreeable. Weather.com predicts a high of 89 degrees for Thursday, but temperatures are expected to top out at 82 degrees over the following three days. Other than a chance of scattered thunderstorms on Sunday, the weather is expected to be dry, making for firm, fast conditions. It will be breezy for the tournament, especially on Thursday and Friday, so we could see high scores.

Southern Hills has hosted three U.S. Opens and four PGA Championships. The most recent major to be played here was the 2007 PGA Championship. Tiger Woods finished -8 to beat Woody Austin by two shots in that event.

The course will play as a par 70 at 7,546. Three of the par-3s measure over 200 yards, with the longest topping out at 251 yards. The two par-5s play at 656 and 632 yards. Four of the par-4s are 489 yards or longer. This course is a brute.

Defending PGA champ Phil Mickelson, who topped the field at Kiawah Island last year to become the oldest player to win a major, won’t be playing this week. But it’s still a star-studded field, and Woods expects to play after returning to the Masters last month following a car crash in February 2021.

For those interested in betting on the tournament, we have some thoughts on the outlooks for the top players.

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Colin Morikawa Stats to Know

  • Best Odds to Win: +1900 (via FanDuel)
  • World Ranking: 3
  • Best PGA Championship finish: 1 (2020)
  • Only 2 PGA Championship finishes: T8, 1
  • Last 4 tournament finishes: T26, 5, T9, T68

Colin Morikawa Course History

Given the nature of the late-moment replacement in courses (from Trump National to Southern Hills), Colin Morikawa has never competed at Southern Hills Country Club, as is the same for the vast majority of his competitors, and even if they had competed there, the course was fully redesigned in 2019, so it plays completely differently than before. The last event here was the 2007 PGA Championship, which was won by Tiger Woods.

Colin Morikawa Recent Form

After a lackluster showing at the Valspar Championship, he turned it on to the tune of two Top Five finishes in his next three events, including placing fifth at the Masters. The PGA Championship has been friendly to Morikawa on his meteoric rise to becoming one of golf’s elite players. He played in five out of a possible six weeks earlier in this season, and now is coming off getting a few weeks off after these three truly stellar performances. Look for Morikawa to be ready to make some noise here at Southern Hills. It is important to mention also that Morikawa has been nothing short of electric in Major events lately, finishing in the Top Ten in each of his last four, including at this event last year. He was the Champion at the 149th Open Championship and is a true sleeper here for the PGA Championship.

Colin Morikawa Masters Predictions

The Pick: Colin Morikawa to Finish Top Ten (+140) via FanDuel

As I mentioned earlier, top-ten finishes have been nearly automatic for the 25-year-old out of Los Angeles, and I think that these odds are hard to not play, given the listed facts, and that he has the fifth-shortest odds to finish within the top-ten. What this means to me is that he has earned the respect of the bookmakers and that he is a consistent threat to contend to win each event, rather than being one of those guys that will pop to the top of the leaderboards for some events and then be nowhere to be found for others. Morikawa’s steady run of play has me confident that he will be a force for a long time. His top-five finish being at +280 is worth a sprinkle, but I really think that the Top Ten at plus money for Colin Morikawa is about as safe of a plus-money bet that we will ever see.

PGA Championship 2022 Golfer Profiles

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