Ravens vs. Broncos NFL Picks & Player Prop Bets (Week 9)
Introducing the Week 9 edition of the BettingPros primer, brought to you by Bettingpros.com! I'm Andrew Erickson, and I'm here to guide you through each game on the NFL slate, offering insights and recommendations on sides, totals, and player props that you can quickly turn into a big single-game parlay.
Whether you're a seasoned bettor or just dipping your toes into the world of NFL wagering, this primer is designed to provide you with valuable perspectives and picks for the upcoming NFL week of action.
Get ready to tackle the NFL season with a betting lens as we break down the Week 9 matchups and identify our favorite bets and picks. Here are my top picks for the game between the Ravens vs. Broncos.
Check out the rest of Andrew Erickson’s Week 9 Betting Primer>>
Denver Broncos @ Baltimore Ravens
Sides:
- The Ravens have covered the spread in four of their last six games.
- Baltimore is 13-6 on the money line as home favorites but just 8-12 ATS as home favorites.
- Baltimore is 14-5 ATS on the road in the last two seasons and 10-4 ATS as a road favorite in their last 14 applicable appearances.
- Rookie QBs are a combined 18-11 ATS this season.
- The Broncos are 6-6 ATS on the road from 2023 (4-2 ATS last six road games).
- They are 8-6-1 as road underdogs (57%).
- The Broncos have covered the spread in six of their last nine games as home underdogs.
- The Broncos have covered the spread in five of their last six games.
Totals:
- Most of the 2023 Ravens games that went over came at home (eight of their last 11), but they tended to be against better offenses.
- The Ravens are 7-1 toward the over this season.
- Seven of the Ravens' last eight games have gone OVER the total points line.
- The lowest total game they’ve played in this season has been 45 points.
- The Ravens have gone OVER in 10 of the last 13 games (10 of the previous 15).
- Each of the Ravens’ last five road games has gone OVER the total points line.
- The Broncos rank third in red zone defense.
- Each of the Broncos' last four games has gone OVER the total points line.
- Seven of the Broncos' last 12 games have gone OVER the total points line.
- Thirteen of the Broncos' last 20 games have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Four of the Broncos’ last six road games against NFC opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
- Denver is 3-1 O/U at home this season. They are averaging 36.7 points per game.
Overall
Bo Nix continues to improve every week in Sean Payton's offense. And he remains flawless against the number on the road, boasting a perfect 4-0 record ATS (3-1 straight up) despite being a six-point underdog or more in all contests. All year, the Broncos haven't lost a game by more than seven points. The Broncos have covered the spread in five of their last six games.
This team shows no quit. Give them to me all day against a Ravens team that consistently has played down to their competition especially at home.
Baltimore's defense continues to struggle, and Denver should be able to do more than enough to keep this game within single-digit territory.
The Broncos still have the No. 1-ranked defense in terms of EPA/play allowed. Baltimore has the eighth-worst defense in that category.
Lamar Jackson has also been missing practices this week with back and knee injuries, although he isn't expected to miss the game. But hey, it doesn't hurt the Broncos’ chances that the starting quarterback they are facing may not be 100 percent.
Props:
Troy Franklin contributed 5.41% of targets and collected 38 air yards (9.87%) in Week 8. He was third in routes and came short of another deep score from Nix. He's a rookie. Practice patience. He will benefit from the upcoming matchups (like the Ravens). He had gone over 30 receiving yards in two straight games before last week.
My Picks: