Rob Font vs. Deiveson Figueiredo: UFC Fight Night Odds & Picks (2023)
If there was a title fight on this card it would arguably be a top-5 event of the year. I mean the name recognition is incredible. You have numerous storylines that are intriguing to not only casual fans but diehard MMA fans. Not to mention, there is incredible value available in several fights. These matchups will kick off a huge month for the UFC. Let’s dive in! Here are my top picks for UFC Fight Night Dariush vs. Tsarukyan. Below we dive into Rob Font vs. Deiveson Figueiredo.
UFC Fight Night Dariush vs. Tsarukyan Picks: Rob Font vs. Deiveson Figueiredo
Rob Font (-130) vs Deiveson Figueiredo (+110)
Rob Font
- Dist Acc Off: 47.4%
- Dist Att/Min: 19.47
- Dist Def: 53%
- KD%: .1% (1 KD out of 594 distance strikes)
- Control % Off: 4.7%
- Control % Def: 32.8%
Deiveson Figueiredo
- Dist Acc Off: 53.4%
- Dist Att/Min: 7.77
- Dist Def: 52%
- KD%: 1.2% (3 KDs out of 235 distance strikes)
- Control % Off: 6.8%
- Control % Def: 20.6%
Anytime I see a Rob Font fight on the card, I am intrigued. And I am even more intrigued knowing he has a dance partner who will stand and throw punches with him. Font has arguably the best jab in the entire UFC, evidenced by his insane 19.47 distance attempts per minute. Deiveson Figueiredo makes his much-awaited bantamweight debut. He has only fought one other fighter in the last three years and that was Brandon Moreno a record four times. Nonetheless, he is fighting at a much healthier weight and that should affect his performance positively. Figueiredo fights at an incredibly monotonous pace with 7.77 distance attempts per minute. We will see if his power will carry into this weight division against a durable Rob Font. It is a shame this fight is only three rounds because it could be a contender for Fight of the Year.
Bet: Deiveson Figueiredo (+110)
Record:
- ML: 52-45-3 (+9.31 units)
- Props: 13-33-1 (-3.30 units)
- Parlays: 4-26 (+1.79 units)
- Overall: +7.80 units
MMA is one of the few sports that seems to be lacking in advanced statistics. We have all watched a fight card and seen the statistics flash across the screen for significant strikes, takedowns, knockouts, etc. The main issue is that it is hard to apply those basic statistics in a way that correlates to success.
We will examine numerous advanced statistics that paint a more concrete picture of each matchup. Not only will this help us make more informed bets, but it will also make us more knowledgeable about an extremely volatile sport. Let's look at the statistics to help us make our best bets.
Glossary
- Distance Time: Amount of time fought at a distance
- Distance Strikes/Min: Distance strikes landed per minute
- Distance Strikes Att/Min: Distance strikes attempted per minute (a great indicator of pace)
- Distance Strike Accuracy: Percentage of distance strikes landed (37% is the UFC average)
- Distance Defense: Percentage of distance strikes allowed (63% is the UFC average, higher defense equals better defense)
- KD%: Knockdown percentage (Knockdowns/Distance Strikes landed. 3% or higher is noteworthy)
- Control Time: Time fought in the clinch or on ground
- Control % Offense: Control time/Total time (higher %= better for offense)
- Control % Defense: Control time allowed/ Total time (lower %= better for defense)
The primary key to this analysis is looking at each fighter's last three fights. This indicates a fighter's form and general ability more than including fights from six to seven years ago that could skew the data. Let's dive into these compelling matchups!
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Thanks for reading! If you are interested in more advanced statistics or have any questions about the process, you can follow me @goldendomer622 on Twitter. Good luck with your bets!