Saints vs. Falcons: NFL Week 12 Odds & Picks (2023)

Gear up for another weekend of NFL action! Make sure to check in with BettingPros throughout the year for top picks and predictions for each and every NFL game. Our writers dive into their favorite picks and predictions for every remaining game on this weekend’s NFL slate. And let’s take a closer look at Saints vs. Falcons.

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NFL Odds, Picks & Predictions: Saints vs. Falcons

Saints vs. Falcons

It feels like Atlanta Falcons home games go one of two ways: they either lose straight up, or win on a late field goal by Younghoe Koo. In this case, I’m on the optimistic side of the spectrum and like this spot for the Falcons, who enter this game losers of three in a row and desperate to stay in a wide-open NFC South race. Perhaps this is too simplistic, but I just don’t think the Saints are all that good. Their wins this year have come over Ryan Tannehill (by 1), Bryce Young (by 3), Mac Jones, Gardner Minshew and Tyson Bagent (by only 7). And I’m not here to tell you Atlanta’s fared much better, but they have wins over Green Bay and Houston, two mutual opponents the Saints lost to. All that being said, these two teams are awfully similar, but I think the Falcons are slightly better and healthier. New Orleans won’t have Michael Thomas and Marshon Lattimore Sunday, which are two important absences. Meanwhile, Atlanta will get cornerback Dee Alford and defensive tackle David Onyemata back from injury. And while Desmond Ridder isn’t all that encouraging under center, I don’t think there’s a massive difference between him and Derek Carr or Jameis Winston. In a game featuring pretty similar divisional rivals, I’ll go with the healthier team at home that’s definitely more desperate.

Pick: Falcons +1 (-110)


What is Betting Against the Spread?

Betting “against the spread” refers to the act of choosing the winning team based on a numeric handicap placed on the team that oddsmakers believe is superior, rather than picking the outright winner. For example, if the Rams face the Bengals, and oddsmakers set the spread at Rams -3.5, you would need Los Angeles to win by 4 or more points in order to cash your Rams bet.

What is an Over/Under Bet?

Over/Under is a wager based on how many points you think will be scored in a specific game. Oddsmakers set the total, and bettors decide whether the final score will be higher or lower than that number. If an Over/Under is set at 44.5 points and you bet Over, you will need the combined score of both teams to be 45 points or higher to win your bet.

What is a Moneyline Bet?

A moneyline bet involves choosing which team you believe will win a specific matchup. The moneyline favorite carries a minus designation, like -130. This means that you need to wager $130 to earn a $100 profit. Conversely, the underdog carries a plus designation, like +110. This means that you win $110 in profit on a $100 bet.


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