Saints vs. Vikings: NFL Week 10 Odds, Picks & Player Prop Bets
I’m Andrew Erickson, and I’m here to guide you through each game on the NFL slate, offering insights and recommendations on sides, totals, and player props that you can quickly turn into a big single-game parlay. Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or just dipping your toes into the world of NFL wagering this primer is designed to provide you with valuable perspectives and picks for the upcoming NFL week of action. Here are my top picks for Saints vs. Vikings.
NFL Betting Primer: Saints vs. Vikings
Minnesota Vikings vs. New Orleans Saints (-2.5)
These 2 teams are a combined 4-14 toward the under this season. The only NFC teams that are worse ATS than the Saints (2-6-1): the Panthers and Buccaneers. And that is despite the Saints having the EASIEST schedule through the first 10 weeks of the season. Simply put, they are overrated. 19% cover rate as favorite this season.
The Saints alone own a 6-2-1 record toward the under this year - the overs coming in their 2 of their 3 games. They have averaged just 40.7 points in games played this season.
Derek Carr will face a blitz-heavy Vikings defense that could potentially pose problems for him. Against the blitz, Carr has been hit-or-miss. A few big plays combined with a few interceptions. 5 turnover-worthy plays and 7 big-time throws per PFF. Likely a spot where Rashid Shaheed can deliver at least one splash play. However, it won't be enough to vault this game to go over the projected total.
As for the sides, I am firmly backing this plucky Joshua Dobbs-led squad. We saw Dobbs create a miracle last week for the Vikings, and I love him in this spot versus a Saints defense that ranks 3rd in most rushing yards allowed to QBs. They struggled to continue mobile QBs and that will give the Vikings a big boost with Dobbs under center - who ranks second among all QBs in rushing yards. Bet the over on his rushing yards and attempts this week.
Dobbs started 3-0 versus the spread as a member of the Cardinals with no expectations. Look for his new streak ATS to continue with upgraded personnel around him at home, where he is currently 4-1 ATS. Ride the Vikings' impromptu 4-game winning streak.
Rashid Shaheed leads the team in fantasy points per route run versus zone coverage (0.35) per PFF. He’s their primary zone beater. Vikings run mostly zone coverage (top-10 rate). Vikings rank third in yards per game to opposing No. 3 WRs. 4th in targets. Also, in the last two games Shaheed has gone off. Road games in a dome. Rinse and repeat.
My Picks:
- Under 41
- Vikings +2.5
My Props:
What is Betting Against the Spread?
Betting "against the spread" refers to the act of choosing the winning team based on a numeric handicap placed on the team that oddsmakers believe is superior, rather than picking the outright winner. For example, if the Rams face the Bengals, and oddsmakers set the spread at Rams -3.5, you would need Los Angeles to win by 4 or more points in order to cash your Rams bet.
What is an Over/Under Bet?
Over/Under is a wager based on how many points you think will be scored in a specific game. Oddsmakers set the total, and bettors decide whether the final score will be higher or lower than that number. If an Over/Under is set at 44.5 points and you bet Over, you will need the combined score of both teams to be 45 points or higher to win your bet.
What is a Moneyline Bet?
A moneyline bet involves choosing which team you believe will win a specific matchup. The moneyline favorite carries a minus designation, like -130. This means that you need to wager $130 to earn a $100 profit. Conversely, the underdog carries a plus designation, like +110. This means that you win $110 in profit on a $100 bet.
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