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Seattle Seahawks vs Cleveland Browns NFL Sports Betting Guide

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When NFL fans looked ahead to the NFL schedule, perhaps no Week 6 matchup stood out as much as must-watch TV than the Seattle Seahawks visiting the Cleveland Browns. Cleveland, a Super Bowl favorite heading into the season was expected to be 5-0 or 4-1 through five weeks of action. Seattle, always a threat with Russell Wilson under center, was expected to be the Browns’ first really tough test of the 2019 season. 

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Details

  • Opening Lines: The line for this contest opened at -2.5 on the Cleveland Browns. The over/under total opened at 47 points. The point spread has flipped to -1.5 on the Seattle Seahawks. The over/under total has also seen some movement, but nothing as drastic. The total has experienced a slight drop from 47 to 46 points. 
  • Current Line: Seattle -1.5
  • O/U: 46
  • Location: FirstEnergy Stadium, Cleveland, Ohio
  • Start Time: 1:00 PM EST, Sunday, October 13th
  • Last Meeting: Seattle defeated Cleveland 30-13 – December 20th, 2015

View consensus picks from 100+ experts for the Seahawks at Browns >>

Overview

Five weeks into the season, the Seattle Seahawks sit a half-game back in the NFC West at 4-1. The Seahawks have followed their traditional formula of strong defense followed by a tenacious ground game, but have also seen one of Russell Wilson’s best games as a pro help propel them to victory.

The Seahawks, now legitimately done with the Legion of Boom, suddenly look like more than just playoff contenders. Their defense has been transformed with the additions of Jadeveon Clowney, Ezekiel ‘Ziggy’ Ansah, and Mychal Kendricks. Surprise first-round draft pick L.J. Collier has played just 18 snaps over two contests but could be a difference-maker once he gets acclimated to the speed of the NFL’s game. As long as they can avoid any major injuries, the Seattle Seahawks look to have a clear path to a double-digit win season.

The Cleveland Browns have been a walking disaster through five games. They have managed to get to a 2-3 record thanks to a surprise win over an impressive Baltimore Ravens team. Their only other win came against a New York Jets team down to their third-string quarterback and also down Pro Bowl middle linebacker C.J. Mosley.

Baker Mayfield has looked like a bust through five 2019 contests. He impressed everyone last season, but currently sports a horrendous four-to-eight touchdown to interception ratio. The fact that he continues to struggle despite the offseason addition of Odell Beckham Jr. makes his tribulations all the more puzzling. Despite the additions of Olivier Vernon, Sheldon Richardson, and rookies Greedy Williams and Mack Wilson, the Browns have also had their struggles on the defensive end, most glaringly when giving up 43 points to Marcus Mariota and the Tennessee Titans. The team’s decision to hire Freddie Kitchens over 2018’s interim coach Gregg Williams (who guided them to an impressive turnaround) has now been brought into question. Cleveland has a chance to turn it around and can thank the schedule gods as they seem to have enough of a ‘baby soft’ schedule to make it to at least the nine-win mark. 

Trends

  • The favorite is 3-0-2 ATS in the last five contests between these two teams. 
  • The home team is 3-0-2 ATS in the last five contests between these two teams.
  • Under is 4-1 in the last five contests between these two teams. 
  • Seattle is 2-0 ATS on the road this season. 
  • Seattle is 2-3 ATS on the season. 
  • Cleveland is 0-2 ATS at home this season. 
  • Cleveland is 2-3 ATS on the season. 
  • Seattle is 7-1 ATS in their last eight road contests. 
  • Seattle is 4-1 ATS in their last five road contests against teams with losing home records. 
  • Seattle is 6-2 ATS in their last eight October contests. 
  • Seattle is 2-5 ATS in their last seven contests following a straight-up win. 
  • Seattle is 1-4 ATS in their last five Week 6 contests. 
  • Cleveland is 4-0 ATS in their last four contests following a straight-up loss. 
  • Cleveland is 5-1 ATS in their last six contests following a loss ATS.
  • Cleveland is 2-5 ATS in their last seven home contests. 
  • Cleveland is 1-7 ATS in their last eight home contests against teams with winning road records. 
  • Cleveland is 6-19-1 ATS in their last 26 contests against teams with winning records. 
  • Under is 5-0 in Seattle’s last five road contests against teams with losing home records. 
  • Over is 6-1 in Seattle’s last seven contests following a straight-up win. 
  • Over is 5-1 in Seattle’s last six road contests. 
  • Over is 11-3 in Seattle’s last 14 contests. 
  • Over is 5-2 in Seattle’s last seven contests following a loss ATS.
  • Under is 6-1 in Cleveland’s last seven home contests against teams with winning road records. 
  • Under is 20-8-1 in Cleveland’s last 29 home contests. 
  • Over is 4-0 in Cleveland’s last four Week 6 contests. 

Prop Bets

Seattle first half -0.5 (-105)
Seattle’s first half with the spread offers surprisingly superior odds to the moneyline number. A 0.5 spread suggests the juice here should be much higher at PointsBet. Take the near even money while it is available. Seattle has scored 12.4 points per first half on the season. Cleveland has scored just 8.2 points. Interestingly, Cleveland actually allows fewer points per game in the first half, but that is as much a function of the opponents faced (Jets and Rams), as it as about the Browns’ defense on the season. Eschew the push option and lock in the Seahawks’ first half with the half point spread.

D.K. Metcalf over 50 receiving yards (-264)
D.K. Metcalf over 50 receiving yards against a beat-up Cleveland Browns secondary seems like a safe bet this week. He has cleared that total in three of five contests, but has managed to miss the mark in two straight games. Metcalf is averaging 53.4 yards per contest on the season, and appears to be in a prime blowup spot. The downfield receiver of choice for Russell Wilson, Metcalf could clear this total on just one reception. You have to eat some serious juice for a full unit return, so for the risk-averse we suggest a one unit bankroll play as opposed to a 2.64 unit lay for a one-unit return.

Seattle Seahawks total over 24 points (-105)
The Seattle Seahawks over 24 points is a highly intriguing offering from PointsBet. They are averaging 26.6 points per game on the season and are facing a Browns team that has relinquished 24.4 points per contest. That number jumps to 31 points per game allowed while playing at home. The Browns have allowed over 24 points in three of five contests this season. The New York Jets were one of the teams to score less than 24 points. This means they have allowed 24 or more in three of the four matchups against teams that had their starting quarterback under center. Lock it in. 

Bottom Line 

Based on what we have seen from the Cleveland Browns this season, the Seattle Seahawks should be able to cruise to a convincing victory. The sharps and early bettors agree as the line for the contest has moved from -2.5 on the Cleveland Browns to -1.5 on the Seattle Seahawks. It is not often we see a complete reversal of Vegas’ opening line, but the Browns’ collapse under the primetime lights of Monday Night Football has made it possible. The Browns have all of the individual talent in the world but need to start playing as a cohesive unit to have a chance against teams that have been as locked in as the Seattle Seahawks have been this season.

Seattle has scored 26.4 points per game on the season. Cleveland has scored just 18.4. The average scoring margins for the two teams are +3 for Seattle and -6 for the Browns. There is value in this line up until three points. Jump on it before public action pours in affecting either the juice or the point spread itself. 

Pick: Seattle Seahawks -1.5 (-110)

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Check out our other NFL Sports Betting Guides for Week 6

Houston Texans vs. Kansas City Chiefs (-4)
New Orleans Saints vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (-2.5)
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Minnesota Vikings (-3)
Washington Redskins vs. Miami Dolphins (+3.5)
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Baltimore Ravens (-10.5)
Carolina Panthers vs. Tampa Bay (+2)
Dallas Cowboys vs. New York Jets (+7)
Atlanta Falcons vs. Arizona Cardinals (+2.5)
Tennessee Titans vs. Denver Broncos (-2)
San Francisco 49ers vs. Los Angeles Rams (-3)
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Los Angeles Chargers (-6.5)
Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay Packers (-3.5)

Raju Byfield is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Raju, check out his archive, and follow him @FantasyContext.