Steelers vs. Colts: NFL Week 15 Anytime Touchdown Scorer Odds & Picks (Saturday)
Christmas is almost here, and the NFL has given us the best gift of all - Saturday football games! This week, we get three NFL matchups on Saturday. The Minnesota Vikings and the Cincinnati Bengals kick off in the day's first matchup. Then the Pittsburgh Steelers face the Indianapolis Colts. Lastly, the Denver Broncos battle the Detroit Lions to wrap up the slate.
Millions of dollars will get bet on these games. However, which touchdown prop bets should you bet? Here are my favorite touchdown bets for each NFL game for Saturday Week 15. Below we dive into Steelers vs. Colts.
Week 15 Saturday Football Touchdown Scorer Prop Bets: Steelers vs. Colts
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Steelers vs. Colts
Steelers First TD Scorer: Najee Harris (+700)
While the Steelers backfield has been a near 50-50 split this year, I'm betting on Harris over Jaylen Warren to score Pittsburgh's first touchdown on Saturday. The former Alabama star has accounted for 25% of the team's first touchdown in the 12 contests they found the end zone, a team-high. Furthermore, he has the first Steelers touchdown in three of the past five games.
Meanwhile, the Colts have given up 14 rushing touchdowns to running backs, the second-most in the league heading into Week 15. Last week, they gave up a rushing touchdown to Joe Mixon and a receiving score to Chase Brown - the first of the game for the Cincinnati Bengals. Furthermore, the first touchdown against the Colts has been by a running back in over half of the games, including back-to-back contests.
Colts First TD Scorer: Mo Alie-Cox (+3000)
Last week, Alie-Cox had the first touchdown for the Colts against the Cincinnati Bengals. However, the veteran leads all tight ends on the team in receiving touchdowns (two), end zone targets (one) and end zone touchdowns (one) despite being third in routes run (86) this season (per Fantasy Points Data). More importantly, the Steelers have struggled with red zone weapons.
Instead of betting on Michael Pittman Jr. to score the first Indianapolis touchdown, bettors should take a long shot on Alie-Cox. Pittsburgh has surrendered only two receiving touchdowns to wide receivers over the past seven weeks, including zero over the past month. However, they have given up five receiving touchdowns to tight ends, including the most over the past three weeks (four). This past week, Hunter Henry had two receiving touchdowns against the Steelers on only three targets.
Anytime TD Scorer: Diontae Johnson (+195)
Anyone with Johnson on their fantasy football team over the past two years knows he isn't a touchdown machine. However, the veteran wide receiver leads the team in receiving touchdowns this season (three). Furthermore, he has scored in back-to-back games with Mitch Trubisky under center. The last time Johnson had a receiving touchdown in two consecutive games came in 2021.
More importantly, the veteran has an appealing matchup this weekend. The Colts have surrendered 11 receiving touchdowns to wide receivers, the 13th-most in the NFL. However, they have given up at least one receiving touchdown to wide receivers in over 60% of their games this year. Furthermore, a wide receiver has scored at least one receiving touchdown against Indianapolis in four of the past six matchups.
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Mike Fanelli is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @Mike_NFL2.