Super Bowl Odds & Picks: 49ers vs. Chiefs Ladder Bets (2024)

by Tyler Gentile |
Feb 07, 2024

Oh yes. It’s that time people. Super Bowl week is finally here. If you’re neutral without fandom for either team, you’re in the best place to liven up your Super Bowl Sunday. In this article, I’ll preview a couple of player props worth climbing the ladder for.

If you’re not familiar with ladder betting, it’s fairly simple, and a fun way to maximize the potential of any given player. Essentially you’re betting on a player prop at multiple lines and the odds progressively increase the further you go up the “ladder.” Here are a couple of my favorite ladder bet opportunities for Sunday, February 11th.

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Super Bowl LVIII Ladder Looks

(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)

Travis Kelce 70+ Receiving Yards (-110)

Leading off with Travis Kelce is as predictable as it gets, and for good reason. He’s Patrick Mahomes safety blanket and has come alive in the playoffs, following a lackluster regular season. Kelce has now recorded at least 70 receiving yards in 12 consecutive playoff bouts, dating back to the 2020-2021 season. Everyone talked about what a difficult matchup it was for him last week, and what does he do? He catches all 11 of his targets and turns that into 116 yards.

On paper, the 49ers haven’t permitted much production to Tight Ends this season either, but we have seen a couple of big-name TEs post big numbers against them. We just saw Sam LaPorta finish with a 9/97 line against them in the NFC Championship. In Week 15, Trey McBride also went off for 102 yards on 10 grabs. Kelce accumulating a similar stat line wouldn’t be surprising whatsoever. Aside from Rashee Rice, the Chiefs lack any trustworthy pass catchers, and we all know who Mahomes is going to be looking to feed when the game is on the line. You can get Kelce at 80+ (+140), 90+ (+205), 100+ (+295), 110+ (+425), and 120+ (+600). Over this 12-game stretch in the playoffs, he has found 95+ yards in eight games.

Isiah Pacheco Over 66.5 Rush Yards (-120)

As stated above, the Chiefs are lacking playmakers in the offense, but Isiah Pacheco has stepped up in the back half of this season. Over his last six games, the Chiefs have relied heavily on his legs, and he has final rushing stat lines of 18/110, 11/26, 18/130, 24/89, 15/97, and 24/68 rush yards. A look at his rush attempts, currently sitting at 16.5 (-120), could also be a play to the over.

San Francisco has done a horrific job containing the ground game throughout the year, ranking 26th in EPA, and that has been magnified in the playoffs. They were gashed by the David Montgomery (15/93) and Jahmyr Gibbs (12/45) duo in the NFC Championship, and we also saw Aaron Jones find 108 yards on 18 carries in the Divisional Round. Under the Rush Yards – Alts tab, you can back over 78.5 rush yards (+130) and over 83.5 (+205) for Pacheco.

Deebo Samuel Over 58.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

The Chiefs do a phenomenal job locking down receivers on the outside, but Deebo lines up all over the formation. Kyle Shanahan always finds a way to manufacture touches for him, whether that is a touch-pass, or on the ground, Samuel will have plenty of looks coming his way. He runs as hard as anyone in the NFL and is capable of exploding for a massive play on any given down. Despite being questionable to play in the NFC Championship, Samuel ran a route on 35 of Purdy’s 36 dropbacks, and his eight receptions and 89 receiving yards led the team. I’d play his alternates of 68+ (+130), 79+ (+210), 90+ (+330), and 101+ (+500) receiving yards.

Brock Purdy Over 12.5 Rush Yards (-120)

Brock Purdy aka Vanilla Vick, showcased the scampering against the Lions, finishing with 48 yards on five carries. As stated above, the Chiefs do a great job in coverage, so there will be plenty of situations where Purdy is forced into scramble mode. Kansas City has also allowed the most rush attempts and second-most rushing yards to opposing Quarterbacks on the season.

Signal-callers are much more willing to lay it all on the line in these types of games, as evident from Purdy in the NFC Championship. The Niners dominated the regular season, but in the close games they did play, Purdy scrambled a decent amount. He posted a 5/19 line against the Vikings (22-17 loss), 6/57 against the Bengals (31-17 loss), and 6/14 line against the Packers in the Divisional Round as well. I’d back his standard line at 12.5 and also sprinkle on Purdy’s alternate rushing lines sitting at 16+ (+130), 21+ (+215), and 31 (+500) over at DraftKings.

Make sure to check out our other best bets for Wednesday:

Tyler Gentile is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Tyler, follow him on X @808Paperboi.

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