Texas A&M Aggies vs Georgia Bulldogs Odds & Game Pick (2019 College Football)

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Unlike many other games at this point in the season, this line has settled almost exactly where it was set over the summer when it was posted as one of the “Games of the Year” as the Texas A&M Aggies visit the fourth-ranked Georgia Bulldogs. For the Aggies, Jimbo Fisher’s second season in College Station has been a gauntlet of epic proportions, having already faced Clemson, Auburn, and Alabama through their first 10 games, with a road game at LSU still following Saturday’s contest. Georgia, on the other hand, comes into this matchup controlling its own destiny in its quest for yet another College Football Playoff appearance. Let’s take a deeper look at this SEC matchup Saturday afternoon in Athens, GA to see where we can find an edge.

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Texas A&M Aggies @ Georgia Bulldogs

Saturday, November 23rd, 2019 – 3:30 pm EST
Georgia -13, O/U 44 (via PointsBet)

No team in the BCS era has faced a more difficult schedule than the Aggies have this season, with four of the current top five teams in the country on their schedule. They come into Athens having played their last three at home against unranked teams, however, with their most recent game a 30-6 home win against South Carolina as 10.5-point favorites. Even against the Gamecocks, however, junior quarterback Kellen Mond continued his pedestrian play, throwing for just one touchdown and completing just 60.6% of his passes. While his numbers are on track with what he posted last season, he has seemingly failed to get over the hump that many hoped that he would, having thrown 18 touchdowns and six interceptions through 10 games. Even with their brutal scheduling, the Aggies’ defense has held their own this season ranking in the top 25 of all FBS teams in both points (20.3) and yards against (327.9) per game.

Currently sitting in the fourth and final spot in the official College Football Playoff rankings, the Aggies are conceivably the second to last stop with just the SEC Championship game remaining that could prevent Georgia from a trip to the final four. The Bulldogs narrowly avoided disaster in one of their toughest tests of the season last week, a road game at Auburn against the 15th ranked Tigers. After taking a 21-0 lead into the fourth, the Tigers clawed back to draw within a touchdown with around seven minutes to go. That’s when the Bulldogs’ defense did what they’ve done all season, clamp down and make life incredibly difficult for freshman quarterback Bo Nix. Junior Georgia quarterback Jake Fromm, who has received criticism all season for seemingly regressing from his first two seasons at Georgia, had one of his best games of the year, and it couldn’t have come at a better time. Against an Auburn defense who has caused quarterbacks fits all season, Fromm turned in a three-touchdown performance while getting a boost from running back D’Andre Swift who added 106 yards on the ground. With yet another 100-yard performance, Swift has now turned in his second straight 1,000-yard season.

Bottom Line?

In their three losses, all to teams in the top 10, Texas A&M has failed to cover twice with their only cover coming in a Week 2 defeat to Clemson as 16.5-point underdogs. As we’ve seen in the weeks since, this isn’t your typical dominating Clemson, and one could make the argument that the line should’ve never been that high. While I like Georgia to win this game outright and potentially even by double-digits, their offense concerns me having not scored more than 27 points since a Week 4 rout of Tennessee. The Aggies’ defense, on the other hand, has played quietly well this season, averaging just 10 points against over their last two and holding Auburn, Clemson, and Ole Miss to 28 points or less. With so much on the line, I don’t see Georgia getting away from their game plan all season of pounding the ball with Swift and relying on their defense.

Pick: Georgia Team Total UNDER 28.5

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