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Thor Nystrom’s College Football Power Rankings for Every Team (Final Preseason)

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We’re just days away from the return of college football. Real games with real stakes (and real lines to bet on). A couple of months ago, I released my initial College Football Power Rankings. Now, it’s time for the final version. No edits. No take backsies. We’re locking it in and letting it ride. Once again, we’re going to rank Every. Single. Team. For a more comprehensive breakdown, see below for all of my conference previews where I write up every team in detail.

Thor Nystrom's Conference Preview Series

Thor Nystrom’s College Football Power Rankings

Note: In the table below, ATL is my system’s adjusted spread, and ATT is my system’s adjusted total.

Rank Team ATL 2022 Change Conference Proj Wins
1 Georgia 53.0 1 0 SEC 11.71
2 Michigan 51.4 2 0 B1G 11.17
3 Ohio St. 51.2 3 0 B1G 10.76
4 Texas 46.7 7 3 B12 10.63
5 LSU 46.5 14 9 SEC 9.95
6 Alabama 46.4 4 -2 SEC 9.70
7 USC 44.5 13 6 P12 10.22
8 Clemson 44.3 10 2 ACC 10.38
9 Penn St. 44.1 9 0 B1G 10.08
10 Florida St. 43.9 15 5 ACC 10.26
11 Notre Dame 42.6 21 10 IND 9.51
12 Oregon 42.4 12 0 P12 9.91
13 Washington 41.8 17 4 P12 9.86
14 Texas A&M 41.2 43 29 SEC 8.58
15 Utah 40.6 6 -9 P12 8.88
16 Tennessee 40.3 11 -5 SEC 8.44
17 Ole Miss 39.7 16 -1 SEC 7.79
18 Oklahoma 38.8 24 6 B12 9.86
19 Wisconsin 37.7 37 18 B1G 9.64
20 Kentucky 36.2 28 8 SEC 7.65
21 Oregon St. 35.6 20 -1 P12 8.99
22 Texas Tech 35.4 36 14 B12 7.89
23 North Carolina 35.2 45 22 ACC 8.72
24 Arkansas 35.0 29 5 SEC 7.03
25 TCU 34.9 5 -20 B12 7.90
26 Auburn 34.8 49 23 SEC 6.91
27 UCLA 34.7 23 -4 P12 9.06
28 Florida 34.5 33 5 SEC 5.79
29 Iowa 34.2 27 -2 B1G 8.71
30 Baylor 34.1 26 -4 B12 7.79
31 Miami (FL) 33.6 72 41 ACC 7.82
32 Kansas St. 33.4 8 -24 B12 7.23
33 Louisville 32.9 31 -2 ACC 8.60
34 Minnesota 32.5 19 -15 B1G 6.96
35 South Carolina 32.2 30 -5 SEC 5.95
36 Missouri 32.0 48 12 SEC 6.15
37 Maryland 31.6 32 -5 B1G 7.56
38 UCF 30.7 38 0 B12 7.10
39 Mississippi St. 30.5 18 -21 SEC 5.75
40 North Carolina St. 30.3 44 4 ACC 7.28
41 Duke 30.1 53 12 ACC 6.59
42 Illinois 29.7 22 -20 B1G 6.54
43 Tulane 29.2 25 -18 AAC 9.43
44 Pittsburgh 28.9 39 -5 ACC 6.21
45 Oklahoma St. 28.8 35 -10 B12 7.18
46 Kansas 28.6 59 13 B12 6.06
47 Nebraska 28.5 70 23 B1G 6.50
48 Michigan St. 27.4 61 13 B1G 5.10
49 SMU 27.1 57 8 AAC 8.96
50 Iowa St. 27.0 51 1 B12 4.94
51 UTSA 26.9 46 -5 AAC 8.75
52 Syracuse 26.8 54 2 ACC 6.98
53 Boise St. 26.4 56 3 MWC 8.66
54 Memphis 26.1 52 -2 AAC 9.05
55 Brigham Young 25.9 68 13 B12 4.95
56 West Virginia 25.2 62 6 B12 4.30
57 Wake Forest 25.0 41 -16 ACC 5.79
58 Washington St. 24.7 42 -16 P12 5.66
59 Purdue 24.6 40 -19 B1G 4.73
60 Houston 24.5 58 -2 B12 4.53
61 Cincinnati 24.4 34 -27 B12 5.50
62 California 24.3 73 11 P12 4.20
63 Toledo 24.2 76 13 MAC 10.37
64 South Alabama 23.9 50 -14 SBC 8.57
65 Troy 23.2 47 -18 SBC 8.79
66 Arizona 22.4 77 11 P12 4.56
67 Arizona St. 21.1 79 12 P12 3.91
68 Boston College 20.8 107 39 ACC 5.78
69 Colorado 20.7 122 53 P12 3.40
70 Marshall 20.5 67 -3 SBC 7.58
71 Florida Atlantic 20.0 93 22 AAC 7.01
72 San Diego St. 19.9 81 9 MWC 7.22
73 Fresno St. 19.7 63 -10 MWC 8.22
74 James Madison 19.5 55 -19 SBC 7.82
75 Air Force 19.4 60 -15 MWC 8.27
76 Appalachian St. 19.1 66 -10 SBC 7.49
77 Wyoming 18.8 99 22 MWC 6.91
78 Western Kentucky 18.6 65 -13 CUSA 8.47
79 Rutgers 18.5 97 18 B1G 3.77
80 North Texas 18.4 80 0 AAC 6.56
81 Virginia Tech 18.3 95 14 ACC 3.93
82 Vanderbilt 18.0 89 7 SEC 3.04
83 Georgia Tech 17.8 96 13 ACC 3.41
84 Virginia 17.5 88 4 ACC 3.32
85 Southern Miss 16.9 85 0 SBC 5.94
86 Coastal Carolina 16.3 75 -11 SBC 6.99
87 Indiana 16.1 86 -1 B1G 2.81
88 Ohio 15.9 92 4 MAC 7.64
89 Northwestern 15.7 103 14 B1G 2.56
90 Temple 15.5 106 16 AAC 5.49
91 Liberty 15.3 78 -13 CUSA 8.69
92 Louisiana 15.2 71 -21 SBC 6.82
93 Rice 14.9 116 23 AAC 5.20
94 Navy 14.6 82 -12 AAC 5.72
95 Army 14.4 74 -21 IND 5.88
96 East Carolina 14.3 64 -32 AAC 4.61
97 Georgia St. 13.8 83 -14 SBC 5.23
98 Georgia Southern 13.5 91 -7 SBC 6.14
99 Miami (OH) 13.4 110 11 MAC 6.81
100 Colorado St. 13.3 126 26 MWC 5.58
101 Northern Illinois 12.9 123 22 MAC 6.29
102 Connecticut 12.7 114 12 IND 5.26
103 San Jose St. 12.5 87 -16 MWC 4.71
104 Eastern Michigan 12.3 98 -6 MAC 6.99
105 UTEP 12.0 101 -4 CUSA 6.43
106 Stanford 11.7 90 -16 P12 2.06
107 Central Michigan 11.5 108 1 MAC 4.79
108 Ball St. 11.2 112 4 MAC 5.53
109 Louisiana Tech 11.1 121 12 CUSA 5.58
110 South Florida 10.9 119 9 AAC 4.12
111 Buffalo 10.7 100 -11 MAC 5.57
112 UNLV 10.6 104 -8 MWC 5.09
113 Middle Tennessee 10.4 94 -19 CUSA 5.39
114 UAB 10.1 69 -45 AAC 3.55
115 Old Dominion 9.9 109 -6 SBC 3.50
116 Tulsa 9.2 84 -32 AAC 3.15
117 Arkansas St. 8.5 113 -4 SBC 4.02
118 Akron 8.0 125 7 MAC 4.45
119 Sam Houston 7.8 FCS N/A CUSA 4.22
120 New Mexico St. 7.2 115 -5 CUSA 5.67
121 Nevada 7.0 127 6 MWC 4.00
122 Hawai’i 6.7 128 6 MWC 4.28
123 Bowling Green 6.3 120 -3 MAC 3.71
124 Utah St. 6.2 105 -19 MWC 3.05
125 Jacksonville St. 6.0 FCS N/A CUSA 3.99
126 Charlotte 5.8 124 -2 AAC 2.50
127 Texas St. 5.2 111 -16 SBC 2.83
128 Louisiana-Monroe 4.6 117 -11 SBC 2.33
129 Florida International 4.3 130 1 CUSA 3.21
130 New Mexico 4.0 129 -1 MWC 3.59
131 Western Michigan 3.4 118 -13 MAC 2.40
132 Kent St. 0.7 102 -30 MAC 2.01
133 Massachusetts 0.0 131 -2 IND 1.87

Thor Nystrom's Conference Preview Series


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