Titans vs. Bengals NFL Picks & Player Prop Bets (Week 15)
Introducing the Week 15 edition of the BettingPros primer, brought to you by Bettingpros.com! I'm Andrew Erickson, and I'm here to guide you through each game on the NFL slate, offering insights and recommendations on sides, totals, and player props that you can quickly turn into a big single-game parlay.
Whether you're a seasoned bettor or just dipping your toes into the world of NFL wagering, this primer is designed to provide you with valuable perspectives and picks for the upcoming NFL week of action.
Get ready to tackle the NFL season with a betting lens as we break down the Week 15 matchups and identify our favorite bets and picks. Here are my top picks for the game between the Titans vs. Bengals.
Check out the rest of Andrew Erickson’s Week 15 Betting Primer>>
Cincinnati Bengals @ Tennessee Titans
Sides:
- Cincy is 16-7 ATS on the road (70%).
- The Bengals are 11-4 as road favorites ATS (73%).
- The Bengals have scored first in seven of their last road games.
- Joe Burrow is 20-11 against the spread following a loss. Joey Covers.
- The Bengals are 16-7 ATS on the road.
- The Bengals have covered the spread in 10 of their last 11 games against teams with losing records.
- The Bengals have won each of their last seven road games against NFC opponents.
- The Bengals have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 12 games against AFC North opponents.
- The Bengals have won 14 of their last 22 home games.
- The Bengals are 10-8-1 ATS as home favorites and 13-8 straight up at home.
- The Bengals have failed to cover the spread in the last five of their last six home games.
- The Titans have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six home games.
- The Titans have lost 15 of their last 18 road games.
- The Titans have lost eight of their last 10 games as favorites. They are 3-8 ATS as home favorites (28%).
- The Titans have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games.
- The Titans have failed to cover the spread in 14 of their last 17 games.
- The Titans are 6-9 at home since the start of 2023.
- The Titans have covered the spread in six of their last 14 games at Nissan Stadium.
- The Titans have failed to cover the spread in 11 of their last 13 games.
- As road underdogs, the Titans are 8-11-1 ATS.
Totals:
- Nine of the Bengals' last 12 games have gone OVER the total points line.
- Ten of the Bengals' last 14 games as favorites have gone OVER the total points line.
- Fourteen of the Bengals' last 18 games have gone OVER the total points line.
- Five of the Bengals’ last six games have gone OVER the total points line.
- Cincy is 5-1 toward the over at home, with games averaging north of 59 points per game.
- Eight of the Bengals' last nine home games have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Titans’ last four home games has gone UNDER the total points line.
- The Titans are 16-13-1 toward the under in their last 30 games.
- Tennessee is 1-4-1 O/U at home this season, averaging 35.2 points per game.
- Twelve of the Titans' last 14 games as favorites have gone UNDER the total points line.
Overall:
The Titans had a really tough showing last week against the Jaguars. The defense did its job, but a banged-up Will Levis couldn't get them over the hump in the second half.
They finished way under 20 points and lost outright by a score of 6-10, the lowest combined score of any NFL game in 2024. The fact that they couldn't score against arguably one of the league's worst defenses was a huge surprise.
Now, that's not to say this offense is completely inept. They had two TD drives stalled out in the red zone that ended up being a turnover on downs. In another easy matchup versus the Bengals, I think the Titans’ offense rebounds in some capacity.
But will it be enough to cover the five-point spread? I don't think so. The Titans have covered just two games all season for a reason.
And the Bengals have shown up against the inferior teams on the road this season. As I cited last week, the Bengals are favored for the 10th time this season – the seventh time by more than a field goal. So far in those games, the Bengals are surprisingly 5-2 ATS on a five-game win streak. In fact, the only games the Bengals have covered (and won outright) have been with them favored by at least four points.
Go figure.
Joe Burrow tends to play significantly better against non-AFC North teams. He is 8-14 in his division and 26-16-1 in non-divisional games. It helps even more when facing a team with a losing record; the Bengals have covered the spread in 10 of their last 11 games against teams with losing records.
So far, so good for locking in the Bengals at -4.5, with them playing far away from Cincinnati for the second consecutive week.
I also don't think the Titans defense will be able to slow down Burrow. Even though Tennessee's season-long defensive numbers are solid, it hasn't helped them cover. They have also gotten boat-raced by the better offenses like the Packers, Bills, Lions, Chargers, Vikings, and Commanders. They lost all those games by 10-plus points.
I could argue that the Bengals offense is better than all of those units, putting them in a prime position to cover the 4.5-point spread on the road. Tennessee's home-field advantage has become obsolete this season; the Titans have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six home games.
As for the total, I like the over. I already spoke about how the Titans' offense should rebound. And a matchup against the Bengals is the exact matchup this team needs to break their home under streak.
Props:
The Bengals have also been the worst defense against No. 2 WRs this season, allowing the most targets to the position.
Over the last two weeks, the Bengals have allowed over 115 rushing yards per game to opposing RBs. Their run defense has missed linebacker Logan Wilson tremendously.
Ten of the last 11 tight ends the Bengals have faced this season have gone OVER their reception prop. They rank fifth in yards per game to TEs this season (65 per game).
Nick Vannett had an end-zone target last week. The blocking tight end is used a lot in the red zone. Cincy has allowed the second-most TDs to TEs this season.
Tee Higgins: Struggled to find much space with five targets (11.4% Target share), hauling in just two receptions for 23 yards (11.5 YPR). His longest catch went for 13 yards. Tee Higgins had two red zone targets but failed to reach the end zone. Buy low opportunity after a random dud game from Higgins.
Higgins has 69-plus yards in five of his last six games.
Chase Brown is on a five-game streak of 90+ yards from scrimmage. The Titans have allowed an average of 100-plus yards from scrimmage to opposing RBs in their last four games played.
My Picks: