Titans vs. Buccaneers: NFL Week 10 Odds, Picks & Player Prop Bets
I’m Andrew Erickson, and I’m here to guide you through each game on the NFL slate, offering insights and recommendations on sides, totals, and player props that you can quickly turn into a big single-game parlay. Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or just dipping your toes into the world of NFL wagering this primer is designed to provide you with valuable perspectives and picks for the upcoming NFL week of action. Here are my top picks for Titans vs. Buccaneers.
NFL Betting Primer: Titans vs. Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-1.5) vs. Tennessee Titans
The Titans have lost each of their last 7 road games (8 in road or neutral sites). It's a team that tends to underperform on the road because bad offensive lines don't travel. The Buccaneers' defensive strengths are in their ability to stop the run.
The matchup is going to come down to how Will Levis can perform against an atrocious Buccaneers secondary, that was gashed by a rookie QB a week ago. The Titans have shown a willingness to let Levis uncork the ball downfield, while also mixing in safer short floors around the line of scrimmage. His first start was completely boom-or-bust, while last week was probably a better projector of a "normal" game for the Titans’ first-year QB.
In his first start, Levis orchestrated an offense that only converted 5 third downs during the entire game. They punted 8 times. In his second start versus the Steelers, they only punted three times with one three-and-out. They scored in each of the first three quarters before coming up just short at the end of the game.
Again, the big plays and chunk yardage are helping the Titans avoid third down because this is an area that they have struggled with. Just 3 first down conversions in Week 9. But the Buccaneers are a defense that cannot stop teams in between the 20s. 31st in third-down conversion rate.
Tampa has also struggled recently having dropped back-to-back games at home and 4 straight games since coming off their bye week. They are also riding an 8-game streak losing ATS following a straight-up loss.
As for the totals, you must back the under. Tampa Bay is 2nd in red zone defense, while the Titans rank 3rd. Unless it’s massive, big plays creating scores - like last week - this game should go under. My concern being is that both of these secondaries are bad/injured, so explosive pass plays could potentially lead to an over.
Each of the Titans' last six road games has gone under the projected total (6-2 overall). Before last week, Tampa Bay had gone with 5 straight unders.
These teams seem to be going in different directions. Tampa Bay is spiraling after a strong start, while the Titans are excited about their future with Levis after two strong outings in his NFL career. I think Week 10 marks his third strong outing, with the coaches trusting him to take advantage of a weak secondary with extra days to prepare. Tampa Bay leads the NFL in the most explosive passing plays allowed per game.
Worth noting that the Titans have played through the third toughest schedule up to this point, so that has played into their overall record.
The Buccaneers allowing the second-most fantasy points per game to slot WRs. The Titans rank fifth in that category. Nice bounce-back spot for Chris Godwin. Comparable WRs versus the Titans have gone a perfect 8/8 toward the over on their receptions props this season. The Buccaneers have also been horrible versus tight ends. But instead, I will opt for Titans slot wide receiver, Kyle Philips. Over 2.5 receptions AND 19. 5 receiving yards. 4 catches in back-to-back games. Treylon Burks will likely miss the game with a concussion. Last two weeks, Philips boasts a 22% target rate per route run.
My Picks:
- Titans +1.5
- Under 38.5
My Props:
- DeAndre Hopkins over 4.5 receptions
- Will Levis over 29.5 passing attempts
- Kyle Philips over 2.5 receptions
- Chris Godwin over 5.5 receptions
- Cade Otton under 3.5 receptions
What is Betting Against the Spread?
Betting "against the spread" refers to the act of choosing the winning team based on a numeric handicap placed on the team that oddsmakers believe is superior, rather than picking the outright winner. For example, if the Rams face the Bengals, and oddsmakers set the spread at Rams -3.5, you would need Los Angeles to win by 4 or more points in order to cash your Rams bet.
What is an Over/Under Bet?
Over/Under is a wager based on how many points you think will be scored in a specific game. Oddsmakers set the total, and bettors decide whether the final score will be higher or lower than that number. If an Over/Under is set at 44.5 points and you bet Over, you will need the combined score of both teams to be 45 points or higher to win your bet.
What is a Moneyline Bet?
A moneyline bet involves choosing which team you believe will win a specific matchup. The moneyline favorite carries a minus designation, like -130. This means that you need to wager $130 to earn a $100 profit. Conversely, the underdog carries a plus designation, like +110. This means that you win $110 in profit on a $100 bet.
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