Top 3 NBA Betting Picks for Tuesday, March 29 (2022)
The NBA has been treating us to some excellent games lately. The conference races have drawn closer, and most teams are still jockeying for either a playoff spot or a play-in bid. Iâm enjoying all of this consequential basketball, but with that said, all of tonightâs bets come in games featuring at least one eliminated squad.
Here are my top NBA betting picks for Tuesdayâs action.
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1. Pistons +14 | -110 at DK Sportsbook
The Detroit Pistons have been a sneaky good play against the spread lately. Since the All-Star Break, Detroit has gone 13-2-2 ATS. They have only failed to cover or push when favored, which is a problem they donât face tonight. Detroit hasnât failed to cover a double-digit spread since their matchup against the Memphis Grizzlies on Feb. 10.
Cade Cunninghamâs progression and Detroitâs improved roster accounts for these developments. Getting Kelly Olynyk and Jerami Grant back from injuries proved significant, although Grant is back on the injury report. So did the teamâs decision to buy Marvin Bagley III at the deadline. The Pistons have steadily improved this year, and weâve seen them flash serious talent defensively. Through the last three games, Detroit ranks second in defensive efficiency and seventh in three-point percentage allowed.
Itâs easy to get behind Detroit when theyâre playing a team like Brooklyn. The Nets have flagrantly underperformed this season, especially against the spread. At 30-43-2 ATS, Brooklyn ranks 29th, ahead of only the Portland Trail Blazers. In contrast, the Pistons rank a solid ninth at 40-33-2 ATS. Brooklyn fares even worse at home, where they have gone an atrocious 8-27-1 ATS. Detroit is only 19-17-1 ATS on the road, but the Nets have played so poorly in Brooklyn that the trends still point to screaming value on the Pistons.
2. Ish Smith Over 7.5 Points | -108 at FD Sportsbook
Bets like this one are fun. Targeting late-career journeymen on bad teams isnât the most appealing strategy, but it should work here. The Chicago Bulls have struggled to defend opposing backcourts lately, especially point guards. They have allowed 29.5 points per game to the position over their last 15 outings, an NBA-worst mark. That number sits at 28.1 for the full year, too, which also leads the association.
The Bulls are seriously missing Lonzo Ball at the moment. Ballâs length and motor make him a solid defender at point guard, but without him, the Bulls are stuck with Coby White and Ayo Dosunmu. Both players boast terrible defensive RAPTOR ratings. White even ranks 242nd of 256 players with 1,000-plus minutes, and Dosunmu isnât far behind in 226th.
As a result, weâll target one of the Wizardsâ point guards tonight. Smith has been averaging 8.2 points per game since he arrived in Washington, and weâve seen him score at least eight points in half of his 20 games for them. His production has fallen off lately, but the shots have still been there, and he should manage to get a couple extras to fall against Chicagoâs defense. As a member of Washingtonâs second unit, Smith will even draw coverage from Chicagoâs worst defender, Coby White.
Youâll find the juice for this prop at -120 on DraftKings Sportsbook, so weâre even getting a bit of value here, too.
3. SGP: Smith 10+ PTS + Vucevic 15+ PTS + CHI ML | +508 (.25u) at FD Sportsbook
This parlay is a little wild, but Iâll explain. First, weâll tease up Ish Smithâs number to 10 because heâs reached double digits in eight of his games for Washington; he usually finishes with fewer than eight (10 times) or more than 10 (8 times). At +200 odds, this line will anchor our parlay.
Next, weâll tease down Vucevicâs point total to 15 because he hit twice against the Wizards already. Vucevic has scored at least 15 in each of his last five games and in 11 of his 12 games this month. Washington makes for a strategy target because they have allowed the third-most points to centers over the last 30 games.
Lastly, weâll bet on the only team with any reason to care about winning tonight on the moneyline. Washington doesnât have a realistic shot at the play-in anymore, so Chicagoâs motivation should be enough to carry them over the hump.
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Isaiah Sirois is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Isaiah, check out his archive and follow him @is_sirois.