Top 3 UFC Fight Night London Prop Bets Odds & Picks (7/23)
UFC London has officially arrived, as Saturday offers great fights and a ton of value for bettors from top to bottom, starting with the prelim card at noon EST. While a pair of top five heavyweights will serve as the main event, which we’ll touch on below, there are some prop bets that I’m keyed in on for some other fights as well.
Let’s take a closer look.
Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook
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Molly McCann (12-4-0) vs. Hannah Goldy (6-2-0)
One of the better women fights in recent memory, this one features the increasingly popular “Meatball†McCann and is one of her highest profile fights to date. The winner likely cracking the top five, bettors think the local McCann has the better chance, as her odds have ballooned from -200 at open to over -400 at some shots.
A closer look shows the two relatively even on paper, except for grappling, where McCann holds a significant edge in takedown average per 15 minutes at 1.79 vs. .61. Goldy does have a minor advantage in striking. Still, it’s too small to make much of a difference here.
I expect a ground and pound fight that McCann edges out in the end.
Bet: Molly McCann to Win by Points (-130)
Nikita Krylov (27-9-0) vs. Alexander Gustafsson (18-7-0)
This light heavyweight bout can be one of the best of the night, as Krylov sits just outside the top 10 and gets a fighter in Gustafsson, who, while a legend, hasn’t fought in over two years. I don’t just give Krylov the edge in the metrics, but 88% of these two’s professional fights have ended inside of the distance.
Expect a similar result here.
Bet: Nikita Krylov to Win By KO, TKO, DQ/Submission (+130)
Curtis Blaydes (16-3-0) vs. Tom Aspinall (12-2-0)
This will likely be an even more popular bet as fight night approaches, but I think we see Aspinall get this one done inside the distance. Of his eight straight past wins, seven have ended in the very first round, with the other ending in the second. In fact, in Aspinall’s entire MMA career, he’s yet to have a fight go past the second round.
As for Blaydes, the more experienced fighter will undoubtedly be looking to take this one into the late rounds, but he’s outmatched on the ground in spades by a fighter in Aspinall who averages 2.04 submissions per 15 minutes and a takedown accuracy of 100%.
Look for a slower than usual start from Aspinall with so much on the line, but for him to find his spots within two rounds and end this one well before the fifth and final bell.
Bet: Tom Aspinall by KO/TKO or Submission (+120)
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