Top 5 3M Open PGA Tour Betting Odds & Picks (2022)
Let’s take a look at our top odds and picks for the 2022 3M Open PGA Tour event on Thursday.
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Adam Hadwin – (+1800 on DraftKings Sportsbook) & Top 20 (+100 on DraftKings Sportsbook)
In his 22 events played this season, Hadwin has made the cut in 16 of them and comes into the week following a week off after failing to qualify for the British Open. While he’s cooled off from three straight top 10s to start March, Hadwin has finished T35 or better in three of his last four events and has exceptional history here in the Twin Cities.
In his two events played, Hadwin has finishes of 4 (2019) and T6 (2021) and leads the field this week in True Strokes Gained, a full 0.4 strokes ahead of everyone not named Hideki Matsuyama. Coming into the week, Hadwin ranks #7 on tour in SG: Around-the-Green, and top 50 in SG: Approach and Greens in Regulation, all three metrics key for success here in Minnesota.
My favorite bet of the week is for Hadwin to continue his success here with a high finish, and I’m sprinkling an outright win as well as the Canadian searches for his first win of the season at a course he knows well.
Nate Lashley (+10000): 0.15u
At 100/1, Nate Lashley is worth taking a shot on to win his second career tournament since joining the PGA TOUR in 2017-18. While Lashley’s long-iron metrics are right around average, Lashley excels at getting to the green and finishing off the hole as he ranks 47th on TOUR in GIR% and 38th in SG Putting.
With a very watered-down field competing this week, these two rankings put Lashley towards the top of the competition in this tournament. I believe we are getting great value on Lashley because he has missed the cut in three of his last five tournaments.
However, in the two cuts he has made, Lashley finished inside the top 25 each time. Another reason why we are getting such a long price on Lashley is because of the fact that he has missed the cut in each of his two career appearances at TPC Twin Cities.
In actuality, the fact that he has four rounds under his belt is an advantage as there will be many golfers in this field who have never played this course as It only joined the TOUR three years ago. I am not too worried about the fact that he has failed to make the cut previously, as Cameron Champ missed the cut in his one appearance at TPC Twin Cities before winning in 2021 and Michael Thompson missed the cut in 2019 before winning the tournament in 2020.
Those two golfers finished 1st and 6th respectively in SG Putting amongst the field in their wins at TPC Twin Cities while they finished 26th and 4th in GIR%. With Lashley’s strong performance in these two areas this season, he is worth a sprinkle at 100/1.
Other Outright Winner Plays:
- J.T. Poston (35/1): 0.4u
- Rickie Fowler (50/1): 0.3u
- Andrew Putnam (100/1): 0.15u
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