Top 5 WNBA Odds, Picks & Predictions: Sunday (7/27)
There are five WNBA contests throughout the day, and no shortage of betting options to consider. Let's not waste any more time, and jump right into some of our favorite selections. Here are our top WNBA best bets for Sunday's games.
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Sunday’s Top 5 WNBA Picks & Bets
(Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)
Golden State Valkyries -6.5 (-110)
The Valkyries will once again be without the services of Kayla Thornton, whom they lost to a season-ending knee injury, as they take on the Sun on the road in Connecticut. The Sun have lost 14 out of their last 15 games, and have just two victories at home the entire season. The Valkyries defeated the Sun by 24 points when these two teams last met on June 22nd.
The Sun are giving up 88.5 points each contest, as well as allowing the opposition to connect on 46.6% of attempts - the highest throughout the league. Opponents are also knocking down 8.7 shots from beyond the perimeter against Connecticut, at a 35% clip.
Connecticut has one victory in its last 10 games and is facing the fourth-highest rated defense in the WNBA. The Valkyries are allowing the third-fewest amount of points, on the lowest field-goal percentage in the league (40.2%). We confidently feel Golden State can keep a seven-point lead or more at the end of this contest.
Indiana Fever @ Chicago Sky Over 41.5 First-Quarter Points (-104)
With both teams missing their star players, points may be hard to come by later in this contest. The early start is a bit concerning. However, the way both teams have been scoring, as well as giving up points in the first quarter, it makes sense to back the over on 41.5 points.
Over the last five games, Indiana is averaging the fourth-most amount of points in the first 10 minutes of gameplay (24.2) while shooting a strong 50.5% from the field. The Sky are also making baskets early, averaging 21 points in the first quarter in the previous five contests.
The Fever and Sun have combined for 50.6% shooting in the first quarter over the last five games. Chicago is conceding 23.8 points in the first quarter, while Indiana is allowing almost 26 first-quarter points per game over that span. Sportsbooks appear to be favoring the under on this selection, which means we could have a small edge by being contrarian.
Dallas Wings Moneyline (+310)
Dallas rookie Paige Bueckers will not be available in this contest as the Wings have elected to rest the 23-year-old guard. Dallas is coming off a tough loss against Golden State on Friday, where the team fell short in the second half.
The Dallas Wings have been anything but successful in their previous six contests, recording only one victory over that span. With that said, the Las Vegas Aces are also playing very uncharacteristic basketball as of late.
The Aces have dropped their previous two consecutive contests, while only winning one of their last five road games. That victory was against Dallas on July 16th, yet the Wings battled tough, resulting in a four-point loss. Dallas is 4-1 in their last four home games. Their only loss was by a deficit of three against Washington.
This is a very ambitious recommendation. So we wouldn't blame you in the least if you opted for the safer route, taking the points. However, the Wings are playing quite well at home as of late, and the Aces are currently struggling on the road. The addition of Buckers would have made this selection an absolute lock. Such is life.
Phoenix Mercury First-Quarter -2.5 (-111)
Given the fact that Washington played just yesterday, we are expecting a fully healthy Mercury team to jump out to an early lead in the first 10 minutes. The Mystics will more than likely be sitting a starter or two, in hopes of preserving energy for the final stretch of the season. You may want to get this number early before lineups become official.
Phoenix is 5-5 in their last 10 first quarters, and have been finding success with the deep ball. The Mercury are shooting almost 37% from beyond the arc over that span, and 38.3% when playing on the road. Post All-Star break, Phoenix is averaging 10.5 attempts above the perimeter in the first quarter.
This contest will be the first back-to-back situation for the Mystics in 2025. The team averages only 19 points in the first quarter when playing on only one day of rest. It will be interesting to see if a shorter turnaround means even fewer points. Phoenix is in dire need of a win after losing its past three contests. A fast start against a vulnerable Mystics squad could be exactly what the Mercury need to turn their fortunes around.
Atlanta Dream @ Minnesota Lynx Over 158.5 Points (-114)
We close out the night with a matchup between two squads that have been piling on the points recently. The Dream and Lynx combine for over 170 points scored over the last five games. This goes for three-pointers made as well, with both teams ranking in the top five in regards to connecting on shots from beyond the arc.
Minnesota has cleared 158.5 points in five out of its last six games, including two consecutive home contests. Whereas Atlanta has done so in seven out of its last nine games. Atlanta is also pouring on the three-pointers in their last six road games, connecting on an additional three baskets from deep when playing as the away team.
The last time these two teams met, the contest went to overtime, resulting in a combined score of 188. While we don't expect that type of scoring output tonight, exceeding 158.5 points certainly seems well within the realm of possibility.
Enjoy the games today and good luck with your picks.