Top 5 WNBA Odds, Picks & Predictions: Sunday (8/17)
There are five contests across the association throughout the day, and no shortage of options to consider. Let's not waste any more time, and jump right into some of our favorite selections for August 17. Here are our top WNBA picks and best bets for Sunday's games.
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Sunday’s Best WNBA Picks & Predictions
(Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)
Sun Moneyline (+250)
The Indiana Fever continue to struggle without Caitlin Clark, and things have gotten to the point where a loss in Connecticut is not out of the realm of possibility by any means. Indiana has dropped four out of their last five games, including three losses against teams below the five hundred mark. Things are getting disastrous for the Fever, and Connecticut may very well be in a position to gain their seventh win of the season.
The Fever are 2-1 on the season against the Sun. The last time these two teams met on July 15, the Sun lost by seven points on their home floor. The Fever did have Clark on the floor for that contest, and as we have recently seen, this team is entirely different when she is not available. Indiana is 10-11 on the season without Clark, and averaging 79.9 points when their most prolific offensive option is not in uniform, and on the road.
Connecticut have earned five of their six victories at home this season, and average almost 10 extra points when playing on their home floor. The Sun were victories in their last contest in Connecticut, and certainly have the right opponent to possibly get two straight wins for the first time on the season. Indiana is 3-4 on the road post All-Star break, while averaging just under 12 points fewer than when playing at home.
Los Angeles Sparks at Washington Mystics – Over 170.5 Points (-110)
At first glance, the 170.5 total comes across as a little ambitious for a matchup between the ninth and tenth ranked teams as we draw closer to the end of the regular season. Having said that, the Sparks and Mystics have been enjoying much success in regards to scoring recently. Both teams are still in the fight for the last spot in the playoffs, which means this contest could have the makings of an all out war on the court.
Washington and Los Angeles have faced each other twice this season, with both contests resulting in a combined final score of 189 points. Los Angeles finished with at least 90 points or more in each game. The Sparks are shooting over 50% from the field and over 40% from beyond the arc against Washington on the season. Los Angeles is averaging 96 points over their last three games, and have cleared 170.5 points in all three contests.
Washington is averaging 83 points when playing Los Angeles in 2025. The Mystics are knocking down 46.2% of attempts from the field, with an efficient 42.9% from beyond the arc. Washington is putting up 87.3 points over their last three games, and hitting over 51% of shots taken, while making just under 20 free-throws per game at 84%. The Mystics have also played three straight contests where the total has surpassed 170.5 points.
Las Vegas Aces – Team Total Over 90.5 Points (-108)
After a volatile first half of the season, the Las Vegas Aces have seemingly found their footing in the 2025 campaign as the Playoffs draw closer. The Aces consist of four Olympians, so it was only a matter of time before the team figured out their troubles, and started to find success. Las Vegas has been scoring in volume over the last five games, and the points come even easier when playing at home. Dallas is not very well versed in the art of stopping opponents from scoring, making Las Vegas a viable option to clear 90.5 points today.
The Las Vegas Aces have faced Dallas on three occasions this season, and are averaging 95 points on 46% shooting from the field, and 37.5% from the perimeter. When the Aces played the Wings last on July 27, Las Vegas scored 106 points on their way to a 26-point victory. The Aces score an average of 90.9 points in winning efforts, and have beat Dallas in all three matchups this season. Las Vegas come in as heavy 10.5-point favorites in this contest.
Dallas has allowed over 90 points in two out of the last three games, while allowing the opposition to make 47% of attempts from the field, and just under 42% from beyond the arc. Dallas is conceding 89.2 points on the season, and 90.8 in losses. When playing on the road, opponents are hitting 45% of shots from the field, and 38.3% from deep. Las Vegas has scored no less than 88 points against Dallas this season. We feel they can hit the extra three-pointer to exceed 91 points.
Phoenix Mercury at Seattle Storm – Under 38.5 First Quarter Points (-110)
Seattle has not flourished in the first ten minutes of gameplay, by any means, over the previous 10 contests. The Storm are averaging a slim 20 points in the first quarter, and only 17.3 in their last four home games. On the defensive side of the ball, Seattle allows the second-fewest amount of field goals made in the opening 10 minutes, conceding just 19.1 points.
Phoenix has found success recently in the first quarter. The Mercury are averaging 21.8 points in the first quarter over the last 10, while making 37.5% of attempts from beyond the arc. Phoenix is also allowing 22.8 points over the initial 10 minutes of basketball.
The sportsbooks seem to be quite evenly divided on the outcome. However, this simply seems like an incredibly low total for two teams loaded with offensive weapons, Despite the Storm struggling to put up points early on, especially in their last four home games, Seattle has to push the pace to keep up with the Mercury's ability to score in volume. There's no doubt this will be a sweaty suggestion. However, we feel the first quarter total eclipses 38.5 points.
Atlanta Dream at Golden State Valkyries – Over 153 Total Points (-110)
Over the last 10 games, Atlanta is averaging 86 points, while making a powerful 48% of attempts from the field, and 38% when shooting from past the perimeter. Atlanta has won six consecutive road games, and have put up an average of 85.5 points, while making 47.9% of attempts from below the three-point line, and 40.1% from above. Atlanta has exceeded 153 points in five out of the previous six home games.
As for the hosting Valkyries, Golden State has limited opposing teams to only 69.6 points over the last five games played at home. The gravely low 153 total for this contest is more than likely largely predicated on that specific stat. The Valkyries have scored an average of 76.2 points over their last five home games, and have gone over 153 points in their last two consecutive contests.
The Valkyries are playing elite-level defense at home over the previous five contests. Yet, Atlanta is one of the top scoring teams in the WNBA, and their offense travels exceptionally well. Given the six-game road winning steak that Atlanta is on, we wouldn't fault you for taking the points in this game. However, that's an extremely low number for two teams that have combined for an average of over 160 points through the last five games.
Enjoy the games today, and good luck with your picks!