Top 5 WNBA Picks & Predictions: Wednesday (6/10)
We are treated to two WNBA Commissioner's Cup games today. Despite the small slate, there is no shortage of options to consider for these matchups. Here are some of our best WNBA picks and predictions for Wednesday, June 10th.
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Wednesday’s Best WNBA Picks & Predictions
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Connecticut Sun at Toronto Tempo
We kick things off in Toronto, with the Connecticut Sun rolling into town. This selection may be our favorite of the bunch - which means you're getting the goods early. Connecticut is not a strong offensive team to begin with, let alone when playing on the road. It's possible our edge on this under for total team points will be the highest of all the suggested options.
The Connecticut Sun average 72.8 points per game when playing on the road this season, while making 42% of their field-goal attempts and a disastrous 22.9% from three-point range. The Sun has a true shooting rate of 49% and an effective field goal rate of 45%. Connecticut has exceeded 82.5 points in just one game this season.
Toronto is holding the opposition to 76 points per game on its home court. The Tempo allows seven fewer field goals, with a 9% swing in opposing field-goal rate as the home team. Connecticut ranks last in the league in road offensive rating (94.7).
Pick: Sun Team Total Under 82.5 Points (-120)
Connecticut Sun at Toronto Tempo
Saniya Rivers has been a sneaky source of assists throughout the first five weeks of the season. The assists have somewhat dipped lately, and it's important to take note of that. However, the second-year guard has incurred a healthy jolt in playing time over the last four games, and we feel that could be the deciding factor for this selection.
Rivers is averaging 3.5 assists per game over the first 13 contests for Connecticut. The young guard is nothing if not consistent, mirroring her season assist average of 3.5 dimes on the road. Rivers is dishing out one assist around every seven minutes and has been on the floor for an average of 27.5 minutes over the past four games.
The scoring is up for Rivers recently, while the assists have admittedly dipped somewhat. If you chose to combine the two (12.5) or just take the points alone at 10, we wouldn't fault you at all.
You always want to weigh your options - especially when taking a player's counting stats on the road. The payout provides the highest return among today’s selections, and there is certainly a path, through increased playing time, to cover 3.5 assists.
Pick: Saniya Rivers 4+ Assists (+145)
Connecticut Sun at Toronto Tempo
Nyara Sabally is rolling over the last few games, and the line for her points + rebounds combo prop seems somewhat low given her recent success. The Tempo have been relying on Sabally much more in recent contests, and there is a high probability this will be the case once again.
Sabally is averaging 15.8 points and 5.5 boards per game, while playing around 27 minutes per game over the last four contests. Sabally’s scoring is surging at the moment, driven by a sensational display of efficiency at the rim. The Tempo forward is connecting on 58% of her shots on 10.8 field-goal attempts per game and is shooting 44% from beyond the arc.
There are simply too many positive facets to ignore that indicate Sabally will tally up 18+ combined points + rebounds in this contest. The playing time is up, the efficiency is red-hot at the moment and Sabally has pulled down at least six rebounds in three of the last four games.
Pick: Nyara Sabally 18+ Points + Rebounds (-125)
Los Angeles Sparks at Seattle Storm
The Los Angeles Sparks are averaging 21.9 points in the first quarter through 11 games. The Sparks make over 50% of their first-quarter attempts while shooting a league-high 40% from beyond the arc over the initial 10 minutes. Seattle ranks third-worst in the WNBA in first-quarter defensive rating (112.5).
The Sparks’ high-tempo perimeter attack is designed to strike early in transition. Seattle runs a conservative drop coverage shell that takes time to establish half-court communication. Los Angeles could find immediate success by taking open shots and taking beyond-the-arc shots on secondary breaks.
While Seattle has shown some success with reaching 20 points in the first quarter, they may have trouble being the first to score that total tonight. The offense for Los Angeles tends to be much more aggressive from the start and shoots at a very high efficiency in the first quarter, both from the field and from deep.
Pick: First Quarter Race to 20 Points - Sparks (+100)
Los Angeles Sparks at Seattle Storm
We close out our selections with what will more than likely be one of the sweatiest options for the two-game slate. Seattle is tied for the fewest points per game in the WNBA (76.2). The Sparks are averaging 84.7 points through the previous three games, while shooting an extremely poor 28% from beyond the arc.
The Storm are holding opponents to only 77.5 points per game at home. Seattle leads the league in fewest field goals allowed at home (26.8 per game). The Storm put immense pressure on their opponents, making it highly difficult to find open looks. Seattle is limiting road teams to 40.8% shooting from the field and 27.7% from above the perimeter.
The oddsmakers are confident that this contest will feature a fast tempo that translates into a ton of scoring. We respectfully disagree. Seattle has been one of the best defensive units at home, and Los Angeles has struggled to make three-point baskets recently. Sounds like a recipe for an under to us.
Pick: Under 169.5 Points (-115)