Top 5 WNBA Picks & Predictions: Wednesday (7/22)
We are treated to a powerful six-game slate across the WNBA this evening. Two of the contests will have an early tip-off as the first two games begin at 3pm (EST) . The contests today will be the last before the All-Star break, which will heavily favor into our decision-making. There will certainly be no shortage of options to consider for these matchups. Here are some of our best bets for Wednesday, July 22.
Go premium to view top prop bets based on Cover Probability, Expected Value & Star Rating >>
Wednesday’s Best WNBA Picks & Predictions
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Flau'jae Johnson 14+ Points (-123)
Flau'jae Johnson is seemingly getting much more comfortable as the 2026 WNBA campaign is in the later stages. Johnson continues to thrive for the Seattle Storm, as the young guard scored 26 points in 28 minutes on Monday when these two teams last matched up. Oddsmakers are expecting a very high paced affair between the Lynx and Storm. Johnson is a top-15 scoring option over the last five games, and our plan of action is to attack what could be an extremely vulnerable line.
Flau'jae Jonson is averaging 18 points through the last five contests, while putting up 13 shots over that span. The rookie guard is finding tremendous success at the rim recently. Johnson is shooting over 49% from the field through the last five games. The guard out of LSU knocked down a season-high five three-pointers on eight attempts against Minnesota on Monday.
There's simply no reason why the points for Flau'jae should be at 14. If we had to guess, the sportsbooks are expecting a lapse in pace/possessions given the All-Star break is looking. However, the total for this contest is over 170 points. Which completely derails the notion Johnson will not have the opportunity to score 14 points or more. The guard for Seattle has scored at least 14 points in five out of the last six games.
Rae Burrell 2+ Three-Pointers (+111)
Rae Burrell is lighting it up in regards to successfully clearing three-point shooting props over the last few weeks, and there's no reason to change what has been paying off swimmingly. The Mercury are absolutely a team you can take advantage of from beyond the perimeter, and we plan to do exactly that.
Rae Burrell has knocked down at least two three-pointers in four out of the last five games played at home. The young guard is averaging 2.0 three-point baskets through five home contests. Burrell has made at least two shots from three-point distance in 4-of-6 games. The guard for Los Angeles has fallen short of two three-pointers in two consecutive games. However, a little home cooking should serve Burrell well this afternoon.
The Phoenix Mercury allow the most three-pointers per game (9.9), while their opponents get almost 27 looks at the rim from deep. Burrell has made two three-pointers or more in two games played against the Mercury this season. We will happily take a positive return on our investment for the Sparks guard to finish with two three-point makes or more.
Washington Mystics Moneyline (+203)
You can completely take the points advantage of +6.5 if you're feeling apprehensive about going the full monty on the Washington Mystics for this moneyline bet. Las Vegas is the much older and seasoned team that is looking forward to the All-Star break reprieve. Whereas, the Mystics are coming off one of their biggest wins of the season against Golden State on Monday, and toppling the defending champs is the perfect way to close out this portion of the season.
The Mystics are holding the opposition to 82.5 points this season, and that number has fallen to 77.9 over the previous 10 contests. Opponents are shooting 40% from the field, 29% from beyond the arc, and only getting to the line on 14 occasions. Washington is seemingly blocking every avenue of success in regards to scoring.
Washington scores an extra five points per game when playing at home (82.0) , and have won 3-of-5 contests at CareFirst Arena. The Mystics will need to keep the defensive clamps on against the Aces, and disrupt their offensive schemes. Washington is heavily equipped with the length that the Aces are in short supply of. Las Vegas will not be able to look for A'ja Wilson for loosely defended looks at the basket in this contest. If Washington can keep the Aces off the three-point line, they stand a very good chance of besting their opponent tonight.
Connecticut Sun at Indiana Fever: Game Leader: Points: Kelsey Mitchell (TBD)
This is the type of selection that goes under the radar on most nights. When you venture beyond the preferred props/lines, there's normally a high return opportunity that goes overlooked. While it's always possible for expectations to go awry, Kelsey Mitchell is without a doubt in the best position to lead this contest in points. The line for this prop is not up as of this morning more than likely due to the volatile injury reports with the Fever for the last two seasons . Having said that, if you check back later the prop will be up at some point, and there's every reason to believe it may be the top bet today.
Kelsey Mitchell has scored 20 points or more in 10 consecutive games, and is averaging 27.3 points on 51.7% shooting from the field through 10 contests. Mitchell is shooting lights out from beyond the arc as well through this current streak. Mitchell successfully made three baskets from above the perimeter in all 10 games played.
The veteran guard Mitchell is the physical embodiment of a ball going through the hoop, and in reality the only other threat to score the most points tonight would be her teammates, Caitlin Clark and Aliyah Boston, but both are dealing with linger injury issues. If you want to pivot to a small parlay for this contest, Mitchell to score 20+ points, and make at least 3+ three-pointers would make for a solid return of -120.
Dallas Wings 91+ Total Points (-105)
The Portland Fire allow 90.2 points per game, ranked third overall in the league. Opponents are shooting over 46% from the field, and score 18.4 points from the line when playing in Portland. Dallas will see the return of Paige Bueckers after missing a contest while under the concussion protocol after a scary accidental collision with Nneka Ogwumike. Bueckers should bring a certain stability to the Dallas offense, which will open up the scoring in this contest.
Dallas is scoring 96.0 points per game through the last five contests. The Wings are making 18 trips to the free-throw line over the five-game span, while shooting 84.4%. Dallas is averaging 9.8 team turnovers in the last five contests (lowest in the league), which subsequently is going to add to more scoring opportunities. 91 is a high number the night before the league prepares to begin All-Star Weekend festivities. However, Dallas is playing at an extremely high level as of late, and Portland continues to struggle with rim protection.