Top 5 WNBA Picks & Predictions: Wednesday (7/29)
There are two WNBA games this evening. Despite the small slate, we still have many options to consider for these matchups. Here are some of our best WNBA picks for Wednesday, July 29th.
Go premium to view top prop bets based on Cover Probability, Expected Value & Star Rating >>
Wednesday’s Best WNBA Picks & Predictions
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Atlanta Dream at Dallas Wings
Rhyne Howard Under 17.5 Points (-124)
Rhyne Howard enters this contest averaging 17.6 points and 3.2 baskets from deep per game. Howard is a top-15 scoring threat this season and has been one of the most reliable scoring options for the Dream. Our issue with her line is that it’s based on Howard’s recent struggles with efficiency.
Our plan of action is to attack what could be an extremely vulnerable line regardless of the high expectancy of points in this contest. Howard is averaging 12.5 points on 36.8% shooting from the field through the previous five games. The veteran guard is averaging 8.2 shots from beyond the arc over that span, while shooting below 30% from deep.
Howard has failed to score 18+ points in six out of her last 10 games and four out of her last six road games. The Dream forward is averaging 15.4 points on 37.9% shooting from the field and 28.2% from beyond the perimeter when playing on the road in 2026. Howard is heavily reliant on three-point baskets, and the Dallas Wings only allow 7.9 three-pointers per game.
Paige Bueckers 2+ Made Three-Pointers (-106)
The return on Paige Bueckers making at least two three-pointers may be one of the strangest situations on the season. Bueckers is averaging 1.8 three-pointers per game on 39.7% shooting. The Atlanta Dream are absolutely a team you can take advantage of from beyond the perimeter, and we plan to do exactly that.
Atlanta is allowing the most three-pointers per game over the last 15 contests (10.2). Opponents are shooting over 41% from above the three-point line over that span on 24.2 attempts. Dallas is averaging 22.8 attempts from above the arc each contest.
Bueckers has knocked down at least two three-pointers in three out of the last six games played at home. The young guard is averaging 2.1 three-point baskets when playing at home in 2026. Bueckers has made at least two shots from three-point distance in three out of her last four games. She is averaging 2.3 three-pointers on 47.4% shooting through her last four games.
Jessica Shepard & Angel Reese 24+ Rebounds (-122)
This is easily the most straightforward selection among the games this evening. Two phenomenal, high-volume rebounding options are going head-to-head, and, if we are being honest, this line may be somewhat low given the abilities of the parties involved.
Angel Reese is averaging 11.4 boards over the previous 15 games for the Atlanta Dream. Reese finished with 12+ rebounds in nine out of her last 15 games. The Dream forward grabbed 11+ boards in five out of her last six contests. As incredible as the rebounding numbers are, Jessica Shepard has been even more aggressive on the boards.
Sheppard is averaging 12.7 rebounds in her last 15 games. The Wings forward has accumulated 14+ boards in four out of the last five games. Sheppard and Reese rank at the very top of the rebounding standings this season. Even though this is an incredibly high threshold of 24 boards, we feel this tandem can meet it.
Golden State Valkyries at Phoenix Mercury
If you're entertaining a parlay for the two games tonight, the Golden State Valkyries on the Moneyline makes for a fantastic leg. For our purposes, Golden State will have to do what they do best and continue to apply relentless pressure, causing the Mercury to make mistakes on their home floor.
The Valkyries have won eight out of 12 road games, with a point differential of +4.3. Golden State sports the highest-rated defense in the league, allowing a league-low 76.4 points per game.
Prior to losing last Monday, the Valkyries had won nine straight games. In their past 10 games, only two opponents scored 80+ points. Golden State is 4-0 this season on four days’ rest or more, with a +13.5 point differential. The Valkyries have covered the spread in seven of their last 10 contests.
Kahleah Copper Under 1.5 Made Three-Pointers (+108)
We close out the evening with a prop bet that could get lost in the shuffle. Under bets will be all the rage in this contest, and we were able to identify a positive return in a very difficult situation for any shooter. The Valkyries are elite at running the clock off the three-point line and limiting opponents’ attempts.
Golden State holds its opponents to 7.9 three-pointers on 22.7 attempts per game. The opposition connect on 34.5% of their three-point attempts when playing the Valkyries. Over the last five games, those numbers drop to 6.8 made three-pointers on 31% shooting.
Kahleah Copper has failed to make two shots from beyond the arc in four out of her last five games. The veteran guard is shooting an abysmal 23.8% from three-point distance on 4.2 attempts per game during that span. That's nowhere near the efficiency or volume needed to successfully finish this contest with two or more three-pointers against such a formidable defense.