Top 6 Super Bowl LV Parlays (2021)

We’ve asked our writers for their top Super Bowl LV parlays. As we’ve previously mentioned, IF you are going to parlay, it’s best to stick with a three- or five-leg bet. Here are our writer’s favorite three-leg parlays for Super Bowl LV.

Find consensus player prop odds ahead of Super Bowl LV! >>

• Tyreek Hill – Anytime TD scorer (-175)
• Patrick Mahomes OVER 325.5 passing yards (-112)
• Tyreek Hill OVER 27.5 longest reception (-137)
  I’m using a DFS correlation strategy here where if one of the three hits, the other two are much more likely to follow suit. I am most confident in Tyreek Hill garnering a reception over 27.5 yards, especially considering he’s reached that benchmark in five of his last seven games. I expect the Buccs to blitz a fair amount, but that means big-play potential for Mahomes and company — just look at his 462 yard performance in Week 12. This parlay is rooting for fireworks, which I am sure there will be plenty coming from the Kansas City Chiefs offense, and the duo of Mahomes and Hill will be nearly impossible for Tampa Bay to stop.
• Total Odds: +415 (BetRivers)

– Ryan Coleman

• Tyreek Hill Over 92.5 receiving yards (-110)
  As much as I think the Bucs are going to try to prevent the deep ball, it almost doesn’t matter with Hill. 53.9% of his yards this postseason have come after the catch. Hill was also a huge factor in the Super Bowl last year for the Chiefs, racking up 105 yards, and he absolutely torched the Bucs for 269 yards when these two teams met in the regular season.
• Tom Brady Over 296.5 passing yards (-110)
  As for Brady, it’s pretty simple. The Buccaneers are going to have to score to keep pace with the Chiefs, and they’re just not a running team. He’s surpassed this total in four of his last six games and three of his last four Super Bowls, the only outlier being the 13-3 Super Bowl victory over the Rams.
• 1H Under 28.5 (-130)
  Finally, Super Bowls notoriously start a bit slow, even with two experienced quarterbacks. The first half has been the lower-scoring half in the last five Super Bowls, and I expect that trend to continue here with two offenses who will look to break out in the second half.
• Total Odds: +728 (FanDuel)

– Mike Wagenman

• Rob Gronkowski Over 31.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
  The Chiefs defense played the pass at a much more effective rate than they did the run based on adjusted efficiency metrics. However, Kansas City struggled all season against opposing tight ends. The 954 receiving yards that the Chiefs allowed to the position was the fifth-most in the NFL. They also surrendered nine touchdowns. Look for Rob Gronkowski to snap out of his playoff funk against the same team that he torched for 106 yards in the regular-season meeting.
• Clyde Edwards-Helaire Under 30.5 Rushing Yards (-105)
  Rookie first-round pick Clyde Edwards-Helaire returned to the lineup in the AFC Championship game but remained ineffective. Even without Le’Veon Bell available, Edwards-Helaire was held to seven yards on just six carries. He did find the end zone, but Darrel Williams was clearly the Chiefs’ go-to back. I expect this usage trend to continue in what is a brutal Super Bowl matchup for all K.C. running backs. It’s hard to bet any Chiefs rushing props over when going up against a Bucs’ defense that allowed an NFL-low 81.4 rushing yards per game this season.
• First Quarter Total Points Under 10.5 (-136)
  The Chiefs have made a habit of falling behind early in playoff games. They did the same thing in last year’s Super Bowl against the San Francisco 49ers. I think both defenses in this matchup deserve far more respect than they are getting. It wouldn’t surprise me to see a slow start for both sides offensively. As for a trend to support this leg of my parlay, consider that Buccaneers quarterback Tom Brady has played in nine Super Bowls before this one. In those nine games combined, Brady-led offenses scored a grand total of THREE first-quarter points. How’s that for mind-blowing?
• Total Odds: +524 (FanDuel)

– Henry John

Check out all of our Super Bowl LV sports betting coverage >>

• Chris Jones > .5 Sacks (+150)
  Jones has a 92.8 Pass Rushing Grade (according to Pro Football Focus) and will be matched-up against RG Aaron Stinnie, who has a 42.8 Pass Protection Grade. That, coupled with Brady’s inability vs. interior pressure, makes me think this is the best bet (overall) to make in the Super Bowl.
• KC Total points < 29.5. (-106)
  Beyond this being a good number (NOT < 28), when you compare taking run-blocking grades, short yard power situations, WR vs. Coverage grades, and Pass Rush vs. Pass Pro grades, when KC has the ball, they are negative in 3 out of 4 of those matchups ratings (particularly in the run game, see more at FPS).
• Ronald Jones II > 37.5 Rushing Yards (-118)
  Fournette will be the lead carrier for TB but his number is set at a more difficult 48.5 yards. Beyond TB’s Offensive ALY yards (OL Run Blocking Stat from FootballOutsiders) vs. KC Defensive ALY being a +16 matchup (happens only 20% of the time), they have the highest relative matchup advantage in “Power Situations” we have seen through all the playoffs +31 (i.e. TB OFF PWR Rk vs KC DEF PWR Rk, also a FO Stat)!

– Ryan Newman

• Tampa +7.5 (-230)
  This is a numbers play, as there’s often statistical value teasing the underdog through 4 and 7. Also, given Kansas Cities record against spread lines of more than a touchdown, this is a useful parlay piece that can be used whenever you’re looking to extend the odds.
• Travis Kelce to score a Touchdown (-170)
  In my earlier article, I wrote that I like Kelce to have a big game, as a function of Mahomes having to get the ball out quickly and him operating underneath more than Tyreek Hill. As a standalone, I see value on Kelce First TD as well (+600).
• Under 10.5 Q1 (-136)
  Typically Super Bowls start slow. Tom Brady-lead offenses have been held to 3 points or fewer in his last 5 Super Bowls (three of which ended up going over).
• Total odds: +401 (FanDuel)

– Ethan Summers

• Travis Kelce – Anytime TD scorer (-175)
• Ronald Jones Jr. OVER 37.5 rushing yards (-118)
• UNDER 1.5 Total Successful Field Goals by TB Buccaneers (-118)
  The Tampa Bay Buccaneers allowed 7.4 points per game to opposing tight ends, and I am sure they will struggle in keeping Kelce out of the endzone. Inside the 10-yard-line, Kelce racked up 15 targets, the second-most in the league. Whenever the Chiefs find themselves in goal-to-go situations, it seems that Andy Reid force-feeds Kelce, who’s found paydirt in each of his last six games. On the other side of the ball, Ronald Jones Jr. got 10 carries last game, basically splitting work with Leonard Fournette in the Conference Championship. 37.5 yards is too low, especially considering he ran for 66 yards on just 9 carriers during Week 12. And finally, the Chiefs rank dead last in red zone DVOA, so if the Buccs make it there, they’re more likely than not to punch it in. Even if they find themselves outside the red zone but still in Chiefs territory on 4th and short, there’s a solid chance Bruce Arians goes for it anyways with the advantage the Buccs o-line holds over the Chiefs d-line.
• Total Odds: +436 (BetRivers)

– Ryan Coleman

Join the BettingPros Discord Chat for Live Betting Advice >>

Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | Stitcher | RadioPublic | Breaker | Castbox | Pocket Casts