Top MLB No Runs First Inning (NRFI) Picks & Odds for Marlins vs. Nationals Friday, July 1 (2022)
Let’s take a look at some No Runs First Inning prop bet odds and picks for today’s game: Marlins vs. Nationals.
Top MLB No Runs First Inning (NRFI) Picks & Odds: Marlins vs. Nationals
After playing it a bit safe to start, let’s get risky here.
It’s been a rough season for Marlins’ young lefty Trevor Rogers, who was an All-Star as a rookie just a season ago and has struggled to the tune of a 4.65 SIERA. That being said, he’s coming off of back-to-back games with a SIERA under 3.30 and a K-BB of 19 or higher, despite facing the talented Mets offense in both games. Per Eno Sarris, his stuff+ (105.9) rating is actually higher than it last year (102), meaning that it’s mainly a control problem, which is starting to correct itself. In other words, a breakout appears imminent, and there’s no better time for that to continue against a Nationals offense that not only is scoring the seventh-fewest runs in baseball but also is the worst team against changeups- Rogers’ signature pitch.
Speaking on intriguing young starters, we’re already seeing Josiah Gray overcome early struggles to be amid a breakout. The 24-year-old has a 3.35 SIERA in his past four starts with a 20.8% K-BB and, for the year, has performed well overall with 4.09 SIERA and a 25.9% strikeout rate. The Marlins rank in the bottom-ten in on-base percentage, essentially making this a “home run or bust’ situation for him, though they’ll have to do so without Jazz Chisholm at the top of their lineup, which is a substantial blow.
This may not be the most likely NRFI situation. That being said, given the intrigue of both of these pitchers and potential concerns with both offenses, it is well worth it at the price. Hopefully, this turns into a massive pitching duel, simply for the sake of these young pitchers, and that all starts in the first inning. Let’s speak it into existence!
Bet: Marlins at Nationals NRFI (-104 on FanDuel)
Best Player Prop Bet Rankings for Marlins vs. Nationals
What are Player Props?
Player props refer to wagers that bettors can make based on player performance in a specific game. The majority of player props are built around the most common statistical benchmarks for a specific sport such as yards and touchdowns in football. Most player props are straight over/under plays that open at or near -110 and are adjusted based on where the money lands.
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