Top MLB Parlay Odds & Picks for Saturday, May 7 (2022)
It’s an exciting Saturday slate of games when looking closely at these matchups. Quite a few great pitching matchups where a few of these guys could be in the hunt for Cy Young this season. This could mean some tight games and some that might have a bit more offense than you might think.
(Odds courtesy of FanDuel)
New York Mets (-142) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (+120) O/U 7
(First Pitch: 4:06 p.m. ET)
The Mets had an extra day to celebrate their amazing comeback with seven runs in the ninth to beat the Phillies 8-7.
Now they have a chance to Maximize their momentum with Scherzer on the mound. He is living up to that big contract with a 4-0 record, 2.67 ERA and an NL second-best 0.081. His previous start was against these Phillies, and it was also his only non-quality start as he gave up four runs in six innings and three home runs.
With Scherzer playing heavily in the NL East since 2015, there are a few players with quite a bit of history along with success, including Odubel Herrera (.286 & 2 HRs), Jean Segura (.333 & 1 HRs), Kyle Schwarber (.333 2 HRs), with J.T. Realmuto and Bryce Harper also homering twice.
Philadelphia, as we know, is a hitter’s ballpark, so we could so more long balls by the Phils against Mad Max.
The Phillies will have Kyle Gibson on the mound, who only allowed one unearned run in his last start against the Mets, and worked hard for it. He finished that start with one clean inning, five walks, and the Mets stranded eight runners. It will be tough for Gibson to get that luck again.
If you look at the pitching matchup, you want to go with the under. After Scherzer and Gibson leave, it will be up to the Phillies with the sixth-worse bullpen and Mets’ 12th-worse to finish the game in the stadium that has seen the seventh-most home runs so far this year. The over is the best bet.
Leg 1: Over 7
Milwaukee Brewers (-104) vs. Atlanta Braves (-112) O/U 6.5
(First Pitch: 7:21 p.m. ET)
The Brewers have been on an absolute roll lately as they’re coming into Saturday winning 10 of their last 11. Something sparked this offense because they went from the middle-of-the-pack in the first couple of weeks to now second in runs per game (4.92), fourth in slugging (.414), and fifth in OPS (.724).
They’ll send up their ace Corbin Burnes who is looking like he’ll be getting some Cy Young votes. He’s currently seventh among NL starters with a 1.93 ERA and second with a 0.73 WHIP. The 11.8 strikeout per nine jumps out as the Braves lineup has been prone to racking up the Ks as they’re 26th in strikeouts per game (9.26). Burnes has ten or more Ks in three straight starts, and we should expect a fourth.
The Braves will have Max Fried on the mound, who could keep the Braves competitive. In Fried’s last four starts, he has a 1.85 ERA with batters hitting .189. Fried does have a good history against this roster as collectively, they’re only hitting .161 against him. Just like Atlanta, Milwaukee is a big swing-and-miss team as they’re 24th in strikeouts per game. Fried doesn’t put up the Ks like Burnes, but his curveball moves 12-to-6, and he’s been using it well on two strikes.
Even with this pitching matchup being good on both sides, it is hard not to look at Milwaukee and how red-hot the entire lineup is. They’ll push enough runs across the plate for the win.
Leg 2: Milwaukee ML
Miami Marlins (+112) vs. San Diego Padres (-132) O/U 6.5
(First Pitch: 8:41 p.m.)
The Marlins have completely done a 180 as they went from winning seven straight to now losing six in a row. If you want to take a little optimism away, five have been by one run. While the pitchers have been phenomenal during the stretch, the offensive has become stagnant as it has been in the bottom five over the five-game stretch.
Pablo Lopez will be on the mound, and although he allowed three earned in his start against Arizona, he’s still second in the NL with a 1.29 ERA.
The Padres are also not a stranger to close games as they come in with their last four of five being decided by one run. They’ve been able to pull off the tight wins due to their pitching, as the offense is hitting just .172 in its last three games.
They have Sean Manaea on the mound, who’s not pitched as well in his last two starts as in his previous three. After allowing just three earned in the first 19 innings, he allowed nine in the last 11 innings.
You have to like Lopez keeping it close against the Padres today.
Leg 3: Marlins +1.5 (+205)
Total parlay odds on FanDuel: +457
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