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UFC 276 Odds, Preview & Betting Guide: Israel Adesanya vs. Jared Cannonier (2022)

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To cap off the 2022 UFC Hall of Fame ceremony week, UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier will take place just down the street in front of a sold-out T-Mobile Arena. At the top, two coveted belts will be on the line as Israel Adesanya (middleweight) and Alexander Volkanovski (featherweight) look to fend off two hungry fighters in Jared Cannonier and Max Holloway.

With a great card (and prelim card) prior, let’s take a closer look at the main event of the evening and see where the value lies as fight night on the Strip approaches.

Other UFC 276 Content

Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.

Jared Cannonier vs Israel Adesanya
07/02/22 11:10 PM EDT
PARTICIPANTS AND SELECTIONS

JARED
CANNONIER
+330
+260
+330
+330
+335
+335
+335
NL

ISRAEL
ADESANYA
-455
-350
-480
-410
-455
-455
-455
NL

 

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Betting Profile: Israel Adesanya (22-1-0)

Last Five Fights (W-W-L-W-W)

Since claiming the middleweight belt in April 2019 with a win over Kelvin Gastelum, Adesanya has five straight defenses, with his most recent coming over Robert Whittaker (unanimous decision) at UFC 271 in February. Now having beat Whittaker twice, The #3 pound-for-pound fighter on the planet will take on the #2 contender in the division as he quickly runs out of opponents.

Entering this fight, Adesanya holds a slight edge in striking volume at 3.84 significant strikes landed per minute (3.84), as well as takedown defense at 77% vs. 65%.

Betting Profile: Jared Cannonier (15-5-0)

Last Five Fights (W-W-L-W-W)

As for the challenger, since joining the UFC in 2015 at heavyweight before a quick move to light heavyweight, Cannonier has found his home in the middleweight division, making the jump in 2019 with a TKO win over Anderson Silva. Since then, Cannonier has gone 3-1, with two of his wins coming via TKO/KO, most recently vs. Derek Brunson (KO) at UFC 271 in February as well.

When the purple belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu enters the octagon on Saturday, he’ll be doing so with a slight edge on the ground, as 13% of his wins have come via submission (vs. 0), and his takedown average is .23 per 15 minutes (vs. 0).

Bottom Line

Despite his ability to potentially take this one to the ground with some success, I expect Cannonier to engage in the striking that Adesanya, given his length advantage, will surely try to deploy. Since turning middleweight, Whittaker has been the only fighter to give Cannonier fits, a fighter that Adesanya has not just beaten twice but done so largely in a punishing fashion.

For Cannonier, at 38 years old, this is all but certainly, his last shot at a title, making him as dangerous a threat as Adesanya has seen at middleweight since Marvin Vettori in June 2021. Because of that and the power that Cannonier does possess should he connect, I expect a slow and methodical approach from Izzy that allows this fight to bleed in the later rounds.

While I think we see Adesanya’s level completely separate as this fight goes on, I don’t see a finish and like for the champ to retain his title by decision.

Best Bet: Israel Adesanya To Win By Decision +120

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