UFC 305 Du Plessis vs. Adesanya: Parlay Odds & Picks (2024)
The UFC is headed down under for an epic middleweight title fight between Dricus Du Plessis and Israel Adesanya. The promotion will be at the RAC Arena in Perth, Australia, with a stacked card. The best of City Kickboxing will be on display along with several other Australian natives.
The fights will begin at the normal time for the east coast, and the fighters will be up bright and early in Australia. The prelims begin at 6:30 p.m. EST, and the main card starts on pay-per-view at 10 p.m. EST.
UFC 305 Du Plessis vs. Adesanya: Parlay Odds & Picks
Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook | 2024 total: +1.3 units
Leg 1: Carlos Prates (-375)
I wrote a fight preview for this fight, which you can find here. There are a couple of reasons why Carlos Prates is a solid parlay piece this week. He is fighting Li Jingliang, known as "The Leech." Prates has two consecutive knockouts since entering the UFC and is getting a step up in competition, but a good matchup. The Leech has not fought since September 2022, when he lost to Daniel Rodriguez by a split decision. He was dealing with a spine injury, which forced him to pull out of a scheduled fight with Michael Chiesa in 2023.
Prates is a solid bet because he trains with the Fighting Nerds, who have made big strides this year. Every one of their fighters has had good game plans and solid performances recently, and I expect the momentum to continue with Prates.
Leg 2: Tai Tuivasa (+190)
I gave out a Tai Tuivasa longshot play in my longshot article for UFC 305. He is fighting Jairzinho Rozenstruik on the main card in Perth on Saturday. The crowd will be rooting for Tuivasa, who is an Australian native. I expect Tuivasa to get a big boost from the crowd and come out fast against Rozenstruik.
Rozenstruik had a great performance against Shamil Gaziev in his last fight, but I believe the market has made him too large of a favorite against the powerful Tuivasa. Either man could end the fight with one punch, but Tuivasa has proven to be the tougher fighter of the two. He has a much greater chance of winning this fight than the odds suggest and a great play to make this parlay worthwhile.
Leg 3: Steve Erceg (-170)
Steve Erceg lost his title fight against Alexandre Pantoja in May and was taken down nine times. He is facing Kai Kara-France, who has lost his last two fights. He has only fought twice in the previous two years and is not as active as he once was. Erceg has fought four times in that same timespan and should have an advantage due to his greater activity in this three-round fight.
I wrote a preview for this fight, which you can find here, and explained why I am betting on Erceg. Kara-France has decent wrestling but has trouble controlling people on the mat once he gets them there. He also has power for the division, but Erceg has not been hurt thus far in his UFC career. Erceg has more technical boxing and can land more accurately throughout three rounds.
Parlay Odds: +483
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