UFC 316 Prelims Picks: Azamat Murzakanov vs. Brendson Ribeiro

Two title fights are lined up for Saturday in the UFC. Merab Dvalishvili and Sean O'Malley will fight again after Dvalishvili dominated their first matchup in 2024. He will put the Bantamweight belt on the line in the Prudential Center in Newark, New Jersey.

Julianna Pena was unable to defend her belt in the rematch with Amanda Nunes, but has another chance after winning the strap again by beating Raquel Pennington in October of 2024. She will face Kayla Harrison, who has quickly reached a title fight after two fights in the UFC. The early prelims begin at 6:00 p.m. ET, while the pay-per-view (PPV) starts at 10:00 p.m. ET.

Let’s look at some UFC 316 longshot bets and prelims picks for Azamat Murzakanov vs. Brendson Ribeiro.

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UFC 316 Prelims Picks: Azamat Murzakanov vs. Brendson Ribeiro

(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)

Azamat Murzakanov (-625) vs. Brendson Ribeiro (+455)

Azamat Murzakanov is undefeated as a professional (14-0). He is 4-0 in the UFC after earning a contract on Dana White's Contender Series. Murzakanov has three knockout victories in the UFC but won a decision against Dustin Jacoby.

Brendson Ribeiro is 17-7 (with one no contest) as a professional and 2-2 in the UFC. He has gone the distance in two of those fights and could look to grapple against the heavy-handed Murzakanov. Ribeiro averages 1.07 takedowns landed per 15 minutes but has not defended a takedown in the UFC. Murzakanov only averages 0.62 takedowns landed per 15 minutes and has defended 83% of takedowns in the UFC.

Murzakanov is -280 to finish this fight with a knockout, but I would not be surprised if this fight goes the distance. Ribeiro's chin is questionable at this point in his career, but he does have a 10-inch reach advantage, which should help him. I would not go overboard with this prop, but it is certainly a possibility in this matchup against Ribeiro. Ribeiro has nearly double (25) the number of fights as Murzakanov and can use his experience in the cage to his advantage as a massive underdog.

Bet: Azamat Murzakanov to Win by Decision (+600)


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