UFC 326 Main Card Odds, Picks & Predictions (2026)
The UFC is back in Las Vegas, Nevada, with a superb card. Max Holloway and Charles Oliveira are fighting again in a rematch for the "BMF" belt that has been over 10 years in the making. Caio Borralho and Reinier de Ridder are clashing in the co-main event at 185 pounds, while Raul Rosas Jr. is looking to make a splash in the rankings against Rob Font. This card is stacked from top to bottom, and it begins at 5 p.m. EST, while the main card starts at 9 p.m. EST.
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UFC 326 Main Card Odds, Picks & Predictions (2026)
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Gregory Rodrigues (-198) vs. Brunno Ferreira (+164)
Gregory Rodrigues and Brunno Ferreira open the main card in a rematch. Ferreira knocked out Rodrigues in 2023 in the first round. Rodrigues has improved his striking a lot since then and showed it in his last fight. He defeated Roman Kopylov via unanimous decision and outboxed the kickboxer for three rounds. Ferriera is dangerous as a striker and has a lot of power, but he gets hit.
Ferreira averages 3.85 significant strikes landed and absorbs 3.99 significant strikes per minute. Rodrigues is much more active on the feet. He lands 5.60 significant strikes and absorbs 4.84 significant strikes per minute. Rodrigues is now a better striker and is better on the ground. This fight does not last all three rounds with the aggressiveness of these fighters. Rodrigues can wrestle, but he can also land a powerful punch to knock out Ferreira. I like him to win inside the distance with a submission or knockout.
Pick: Gregory Rodrigues Inside the Distance (-125)
Drew Dober (+102) vs. Michael Johnson (-122)
Drew Dober has only won once in his last four fights and twice in his last five. Michael Johnson is on a three-fight winning streak. Dober is a chaotic fighter and loves to brawl, which leads to losses. His chin is durable, and he never quits. His three losses were also to Manuel Torres, Jean Silva, and Renato Moicano. Those are fighters that you should not brawl against.
Neither man wrestles much, but Johnson is the one who fights to implement a wrestling game plan if either does. He averages 0.58 takedowns landed per 15 minutes with 38% accuracy. Dober defends 58% of takedowns and struggles because of his pressure striking. He is too busy moving forward to be in a good position to defend takedowns. This fight should remain standing, however.
Dober is at a speed disadvantage in this fight, but he walks through strikers like Johnson. You have to own true power to beat Dober. Dober eats punches to land his own power shots, and he has a lot of power. Johnson has looked better recently, but his chin looked questionable for a stretch of fights from 2019 to 2023. Dober may not win the first round, but he will come on strong in the later rounds. I think Dober's durability is the key to this fight, and allows him to land power punches in the second and third rounds.
Pick: Drew Dober Moneyline (+102)