UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy Picks & Predictions (2026)
London is welcoming the UFC to The O2 for a fight night card on March 21. Lerone Murphy is fighting in front of a home crowd against the featherweight division's top contender, undefeated Movsar Evloev. Michael "Venom" Page is also on the main card, along with several other English fighters. The prelims start at 1 p.m. ET, and the main card begins at 4 p.m. ET.
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy Picks & Predictions
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Mason Jones (-135) vs. Axel Sola (+114)
The featured prelim of the night is Mason Jones versus Axel Sola. Jones is Welsh, and Sola is French, so neither man has to travel far. Sola won his UFC debut against Rhys McKee via third-round knockout. He is 11-0-1 as a professional, but has not fought the highest level of competition. Jones is coming off a knockout victory against Bolaji Oki in September. He also beat Jeremy Stephens before that via unanimous decision, while securing eight takedowns against the veteran.
Jones is aggressive and mixes in wrestling. He averages 5.71 significant strikes and absorbs 4.47 significant strikes per minute in the UFC. He also lands 4.17 takedowns per 15 minutes at 55 percent accuracy. Jones defends 81 percent of takedowns.
Sola only has one fight of stats, but he landed 3.74 significant strikes and absorbed 2.74 significant strikes per minute against McKee. He landed one takedown over the course of the fight and controlled for over three minutes.
I expect Jones to utilize his octagon experience and wrestling to manage this matchup. He is durable and aggressive, especially in wrestling. He can outwork Sola and use his wrestling to control the fight. It is a close fight on the feet, but Jones' ability to mix in takedowns should help him land strikes when the fight is standing.
Bet: Mason Jones (-135)
Michael "Venom" Page (-192) vs. Sam Patterson (+160)
Michael "Venom" Page has had a stellar start to his UFC career. He is 3-1 in four fights, with his lone loss coming against Ian Machado Garry via unanimous decision in 2024. Page has victories over Kevin Holland, Shara Magomedov, and, most recently, Jared Cannonier. He is fighting Sam Patterson, who has started 4-1 in the UFC after earning a contract on Dana White's Contender Series. He lost his debut via knockout, but has two submissions and two knockouts since.
These men are extremely similar fighters, and they have fought each other a lot in training. They have a lot of experience against each other over the years, which should help Patterson in this fight. Page is a unique fighter, and it is hard to mimic his style. Patterson wrestles more than Page, averaging 1.39 takedowns landed per 15 minutes. He also aims to finish the fight on the ground with his submissions.
Patterson has a 78-inch reach, which nearly matches Page's 79-inch reach. He can stand with him at a distance, and Patterson knows Page's style. Patterson also has power, which Page struggles against. Page thrives in fights where he can stay on the outside and use his unique style to stay out of danger. Patterson is not falling for his tricks because he has already seen them all in training. I think this is a solid spot to fade Page, and Patterson has solid value given his experience with Page.
Bet: Sam Patterson (+160)