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UFC Fight Night Holm vs. Silva: Parlay Odds & Picks (Vegas 77)

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Following a massive pay-per-view card, the UFC is back at the Apex for another card. Holly Holm and Marya Bueno Silva headline the card that also picks up Jack Della Maddalena. It is not the most stacked card, but it does feature some fighters with nothing to lose.

They will want to put on a show and make a name for themselves. The prelims begin at 7 p.m. ET, and the main card starts at 10 p.m., both on ESPN.

Follow my Twitter for more picks and predictions on the day of the fights.

UFC Fight Night Holm vs. Silva: Parlay Odds & Picks (Vegas 77)

2023 total: Down 8.74 units | Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook

Leg 1: Nazim Sadykhov vs. Terrance McKinney Over 1.5 Rounds (+155)

Terrance McKinney’s average fight time is just under four minutes. Nazim Sadykhov’s average fight time is just over 11 minutes. Both men are capable strikers, with Sadykhov being more technical. He lands 5.17 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 4.47 strikes per minute. He should be able to wear on McKinney as the fight goes into the second and third rounds. McKinney is an explosive fighter and tends to get after it in the first round. It should be a close fight and be competitive for the duration.

Leg 2: Ottman Azaitar Money Line (-105)

Ottman Azaitar lost his undefeated record in his last appearance against Matt Frevola. Frevola knocked him about halfway through the first round. Frevola then knocked out Drew Dober in the first round. Francisco Prado, his opponent, lost his UFC debut to Jamie Mullarkey via unanimous decision. Prado was taken down three times and could not get momentum. He landed 28 significant strikes out of 31 total strikes. Azaitar lands 6.97 significant strikes per minute and absorbs 2.63 strikes per minute. He should be able to touch Prado on his feet.

Prado is 21, while Azaitar is 33, but they have similar experiences. Azaitar is 13-1, while Prado is 11-1 as a professional. The odds suggest this is a close fight despite the massive age difference. Azaitar has a slight edge due to the amount of volume he lands. The danger for him lies in the first round. Prado has not shown a great gas tank but will eat punches to land his own. Azaitar must be weary of Prado’s power early in the fight and pick him apart as the bout progresses.

Leg 3: Jack Della Maddalena Money Line (-540)

Jack Della Maddalena was scheduled to fight last week but had multiple fights fall through. He is Australian, so instead of traveling back without earning a paycheck, he booked a match for this week and will cut weight one more time in hopes of a check. The second weight cut is a factor in this fight as it will undoubtedly affect him. He is fighting debutante Bassil Hafez, who is 8-3-1 as a 31-year-old professional.

Maddalena has some of the best hands in the sport and is not afraid to let them go. He just beat Randy Brown by submission in February, his statement win. He knocked him down and applied the rear naked choke in the first round. Hafez has his hands full, despite Della Maddalena cutting weight for a second time. He lands 8.27 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 4.29 strikes per minute. There may be gas tank issues due to the second weight cut, but it may not get that far. The under 1.5 rounds is a -210 favorite, which means Della Maddalena likely has a short night at the office.

Total Parlay Odds: +490

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