UFC Fight Night Picks & Predictions: John Castaneda vs. Daniel Santos (10/1)
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan is set to get underway this Saturday at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. While this card is certainly not the most exciting on paper, there are still a couple of great betting angles to attack.
Below, I will walk through my best longshot prop bets to make for this card. These plays are one unit each, or 1% of your betting bankroll.
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Odds Courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook
UFC Fight Night Picks & Predictions: John Castaneda vs. Daniel Santos (10/1)
On the main card, Castaneda is set to take on Santos. This fight should stay on its feet as neither guy shoots for takedowns often.
If this scrap stays standing, then Castaneda should have the advantage. While Santos has only one UFC bout in his resume, he struggled mightily.
In that fight, he lost via Unanimous Decision to Julio Arce. Getting absolutely dominated in that scrap, Santos only landed 49 of his 229 significant strikes (21%).
Meanwhile, Castaneda has won three of his four UFC fights since appearing on Dana White’s Contender Series. He has shown his knockout power previously in his KO/TKO victory over Eddie Wineland, something I expect to see once again on Saturday.
Going against Santos, Castaneda boasts a four-inch reach advantage, higher striking accuracy, striking defense, and more strikes landed per minute. With that in mind, Castaneda to win via KO/TKO at 4/1 is worth a shot.
Pick: John Castaneda to Win via KO/TKO/DQ (+400)
Best of luck!
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Whether you’re new to sports betting or a betting pro, our How To Bet and Sports Betting Strategy and Advice pages are for you. You can get started with our Sports Betting 101 Section — including 10 Sports Betting Tips for Beginners — or head to more advanced sports betting strategies — like Key Numbers When Betting Against the Spread — to learn more.
Tony Sartori is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Tony, check out his archive and follow him @tony_sartori.