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UFC Vegas 68 Lewis vs. Spivak: Parlay Odds, Picks & Predictions (2023)

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Derrick Lewis will take on Sergey Spivak in a rescheduled main event on Saturday night. The Road to UFC tournament finals will occur in the prelims, with fights across four divisions. The show was in Singapore, and the event will have an unusually late start tonight to accommodate the time difference. All eight competitors will be making their UFC debut to secure a contract. The prelims will begin at 10 p.m. EST and the main event will start at 1 a.m. EST.

Follow my Twitter here for more picks and predictions on the day of the fights.

UFC Fight Night Lewis vs. Spivak: Parlay Picks

2023 total: Down 2 units

Leg 1: Hyun Sung Park money line (-190)

This bout is the flyweight tournament final and features two South Korean fighters. Hyunsung Park (7-0) will be taking on Seung Guk Choi (6-1) for a UFC contract. Park has a two-inch reach advantage at 66 inches and will also have a grappling advantage. Park won his first fight in the Road to UFC via TKO in the first round and his second via submission in the first round. Choi won both of his tournament fights via unanimous decision. Park also has a power advantage, and this fight could end in multiple ways, but Park has a clear path to victory.

Leg 2: Yusaku Kinoshita money line (-315)

Opening the main card, Yusaku Kinoshita (6-1) will fight Adam Fugitt (8-3) in the welterweight division. In Fugitt’s UFC debut, he lost to Michael Morales via knockout while being knocked down twice. He showed a lot of toughness and heart throughout the fight but got outclassed by Morales. The same thing could happen Saturday night against Kinoshita. Fugitt has a six-inch reach advantage over Kinoshita, but that did not stop Kinoshita from winning his last fight at an eight-inch disadvantage. Kinoshita did a great job moving in and out of range while throwing powerful combinations. He also landed 23 leg kicks, which he will likely use against Fugitt to slow him down. He will be able to endure everything Fugitt has to offer and will land his offense because Fugitt absorbs 7.44 significant strikes per minute.

Leg 3: Da Un Jung money line (-250)

In the light heavyweight division, Da Un Jung (15-3-1) will fight UFC veteran Devin Clark (13-7). Clark started fighting in the UFC in 2016 but has a 7-7 record during that stretch. Jung is entering this fight after losing via knockout to Dustin Jacoby. He will have a four-inch height advantage and a three-inch reach advantage over Clark. Both men average just under 2.5 takedowns per 15 minutes, and Jung’s takedown defense is 88%. This fight will likely remain on the feet if Jung decides to take that route. Jung is more technical while standing, but Clark has power and athleticism. Jung offers more volume if this fight makes it to the judges. He lands 4.05 significant strikes per minute, while Clark lands 2.94 strikes per minute. Both men can find a knockout shot, but Jung has more paths to win this bout.

Parlay: +181 on DraftKings Sportsbook

DraftKings is the best place to play this parlay, and betting one unit or less is the best way to attack it. The main event starts at 1 a.m. EST on ESPN+.

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