UFC Vegas 70 Krylov vs. Spann: Prop Bet Odds & Picks (2023)
Nikita Krylov and Ryan Spann, two of the most reliable finishers in the UFC Light Heavyweight division, will be going head to head this coming Saturday evening in the main event of UFC Vegas 70.
In a card that will take place inside UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada, Tatiana Suarez will finally make her long-awaited comeback to action against Montana De La Rosa. Also on the card, middleweight contender Andre Muniz will try to continue his climb by knocking out Brendan Allen.
In another UFC fight night full of value, let’s take a closer look at my two favorite prop bets.
Top Prop Bets for UFC Vegas 70
Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook
Joe Solecki (-520) vs. Carl Deaton III (+410)
Carl Deaton III is an MMA vet who, at 33 years old, has largely competed in local tournaments in his native Michigan. The UFC battled greatly to find someone ready to fight Solecki because his initial opponent Benoit Saint Denis withdrew from this fight weeks ago, and Deaton was the only guy to answer the call.
And with good cause.
Solecki is one of the top grapplers in the lightweight division, having gone 4-1 in the UFC thus far, with his lone defeat coming by way of a controversial decision (split) against Jared Gordon.
On a broader scale, men’s favorites in the UFC with odds exceeding -400 are 3-1 since the year, with all three victories occurring inside of the final bell. Although the odds have gone out of control, I believe there is still a ton of value in this match, finishing inside the distance as Solecki moves closer to facing a top-15 opponent.
Bet: Joe Solecki – Inside the Distance (-115 via DraftKings)
Nikita Krylov (-170) vs. Ryan Spann (+145)
With 4.45 important strikes landed per minute (compared to 3.42), striking accuracy of 55% (compared to 44%), and fewer shots absorbed per minute at 2.5, Krylov appears to have an edge in the striking category (vs. 3.42). Even on the ground, Krylov has advantages in takedowns and takedown defense, although Spann has a little edge in submission average (1.76 vs. 1.24).
Although both competitors had two-bout winning streaks coming in, I believe that their individual battle histories make the difference.
Dominick Reyes and Ion Cutelaba, who have combined to lose 10 fights since 2019, are the subjects of Spann’s two victories. Even though Kyrlov’s victories over Alexander Gustaffson and Volkan Oezdemir weren’t exactly against strong opponents, they nevertheless have greater significance.
With opponents like Johnny Walker, Jan Blachowicz (c), Glover Teixeira (c), Magomed Ankalev, and Paul Craig in his first four years with the promotion, Krylov has a proven track record when it comes to combat experience.
Add in the fact 90% of these two fights have ended inside the distance, and I like a similar result here.
Bet: Nikita Kyrlov – Inside the Distance (-130 via DraftKings)
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Johnny is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Johnny, check out his free UFC picks newsletter and follow him @JohnnyCovers.