UFL Week 10 Odds & Picks: Brahmas vs. Renegades (Sunday)
The Brahmas and Renegades are playing their final game of the 2025 UFL season, as neither team will play in the playoffs. The players have the motivation to put their best foot forward one more time for prospective NFL employers. The coaches for each club could play some of the reserves later in the game to reward them for their effort in practices all season. Nevertheless, I’m ultimately taking Arlington’s and San Antonio’s numbers for the season at face value and not overcomplicating the analysis. Here are my top Week 10 UFL picks and predictions for Brahmas vs. Renegades.
Get instant alerts when a line reaches your target via the BettingPros App >>
UFL Odds, Picks & Predictions: Week 10 (Sunday)
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
San Antonio Brahmas vs. Arlington Renegades UFL Picks & Predictions
The Brahmas are 1-8 this year, with 130 points for (14.4 per game) and 251 points against (27.9 per game). They’re comfortably the worst team in the league, with the fewest points scored and the most points against.
San Antonio is bookending their season with games against Arlington. The Renegades beat the Brahmas 33-9 in Week 1 in an uncompetitive contest. Kellen Mond started that contest for the Brahmas, and things have come full circle with him listed as the starter again this week. Mond started San Antonio’s first five games before they fired up the quarterback carousel. However, Mond was reinserted as the starter last week. Per Pro Football Focus (PFF), Mond’s 159 passing yards in Week 1 were a season high. He’s cleared 150 passing yards only twice in six starts and fell short of 130 four times.
On the plus side for San Antonio’s offense, their backfield is completely healthy this week, and the trio of Jashaun Corbin, Anthony McFarland and John Lovett can provide the Brahmas with some life.
Circling back to the broader view of the Brahmas, they’re 0-3 versus non-playoff teams this year, with 34 points for (11.3 points per game, with a median of nine) and 84 points against (28 points per game, with a median of 27). San Antonio is also 0-4 at home — all with Payton Pardee as the interim head coach. They’ve scored 62 points at home, for an average of 15.5 per game and a median of 17.5, while coughing up 122 points, for an average of 30.5 and a median of 29.5.
The Brahmas have rarely been competitive this year. They’ve lost six of nine games by more than 6.5 points. Additionally, while their offense hasn’t done much of the lifting, their games have exceeded 41.5 total points six times, including three straight.
The Renegades are probably the best non-playoff team. They’re 4-5, with 206 points for (22.9 per game) and 163 points against (18.1 per game). Arlington is 3-0 against non-playoff teams, with 74 points for (24.7 per game, with a median of 30) and 30 points against (10 per game, with a median of nine).
Arlington is only 1-3 on the road. However, their lone road victory was their only game on the road against a non-playoff team, beating the Showboats 30-12 in Memphis in Week 9. Three of Arlington’s four wins this year were by more than 6.5 points, and two of their three victories against non-playoff teams were by more than 6.5 points.
Their games have also regularly exceeded 41.5 points in six of nine contests, including three straight and five of their last six. Arlington’s offense shouldn’t find it difficult to move the ball and score points against the UFL’s worst defense since they have one of the league’s best quarterbacks. Luis Perez is second in passing yards (2,014), first in completion percentage (70.6%) and tied for PFF’s highest passing grade among quarterbacks with at least 40 dropbacks this season. I expect the Renegades to handle their business, winning by more than 6.5 points. There should also be enough points in the contest for the Renegades and Brahmas to clear 41.5 points.
Pick: ARL -6.5 (-115) and Over 41.5 (-115)
Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | Stitcher | RadioPublic | Breaker | Castbox | Pocket Casts
Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.