Under-the-Radar College Football Bets: Week 6 (2019)
As we take a look at the Week 6 calendar, a number of the lines have already moved in the wrong direction for us. Even so, we’ll stick with the plays even though some value is gone. I hopped on Washington and LSU early in the week when Washington was at about -14 and LSU was at -23.5. I still like them to roll in their respective games, so I’ll keep the plays.
Sign up now at PointsBet and a $100 bonus when you bet $50 >>
Washington Huskies at Stanford Cardinal
Odds: Washington -16.5 at PointsBet
The Stanford Cardinal have looked very frail this season, barely beating a bad Oregon State team this past weekend and having lost three games before the end of September. The Cardinal are down a starting left tackle, a starting linebacker, and have suffered other injuries as well. In the past, they have depended on having a breakaway running back and a strong defense, but the defense is weak and they have not yet identified a 2019 version of that running back who can lead the way. Gone are the days of Bryce Love and Christian McCaffrey.
Stanford has a very hard time scoring against good defenses, and they’ll be facing another good one this week. The Cardinal managed just six points against Oregon a few weeks ago at home, and Washington is similarly talented and powerful on defense. The Huskies should be able to shut down the Cardinal – especially with K.J. Costello out and Davis Mills in at quarterback – and if they do that, they should be able to win this game very comfortably, by more than two touchdowns. Oregon won by 15 points at Stanford. Washington should be able to do something very similar this coming weekend.
Utah State Aggies at LSU Tigers
Odds: LSU -27.5 at PointsBet
The LSU Tigers had multiple players suffer injuries in their 66-38 Week 4 win over the Vanderbilt Commodores. Not all of those players will be back in the starting lineup this weekend against Utah State. However, some of them will because the team is coming off a bye week.
That week of healing should serve LSU very well against Utah State. The difference in talent and speed between these teams is enormous. LSU quarterback Joe Burrow is a legitimate Heisman Trophy candidate after putting up video-game numbers in multiple games this season. Now he’s going up against a secondary that gave up over 300 passing yards to San Diego State.
LSU should be able to put up at least 50 points in this game and if it does, that would force Utah State to score at least 27 or 28 points to be able to cover the spread. That is unlikely. LSU should cover.
Georgia Bulldogs at Tennessee Volunteers
Odds: Tennessee +24.5
The Georgia Bulldogs are a very good team. They’re a national championship contender and they are going to beat the Tennessee Volunteers this Saturday night. However, Georgia plays games close to the vest. The Bulldogs would rather run the ball several extra times and drain the clock rather than throw the ball down the field and roll up huge point totals. Georgia won’t get shut down in this game, but the key point to realize is that while fast-tempo offenses such as Ohio State and Oklahoma will score in the 50s against bad teams, Georgia might score only 35 or 38. If so, Tennessee can cover the spread with a modest 14-point total. That’s why Tennessee is a solid pick against the spread.
Sign up now at PointsBet and get up to $1,000 back on your first two bets! >>
Dave Golokhov is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Dave, check out his archive and follow him @davegolokhov.