Warriors vs. Grizzlies NBA Play-In Tournament Predictions (Tuesday)

The “3made” system has added a 12.1% ROI over its last 2,827 bets. It’s also won 64.5% of the time. It’s essentially won more than 340 units of profit during that stretch.

Ultimately, this system looks for players to go over in the three-point market. But to fit the system, the player must have hit the over in at least three of the last five games and six of the previous 10 games. Plus, the player has to have a cost of -275 to +554 on the over in the three-point market to qualify.

Desmond Bane of the Memphis Grizzlies has earned at least three three-pointers in four of his last five games. He’s also added at least three three-pointers in four consecutive games. That said, he’ll battle a Warriors team ranked 16th in the NBA in three-pointers allowed to shooting guards this season.

Bane has been consistent throughout the season, but he’s red-hot right now. Let’s take advantage and back Bane to add at least three three-pointers in today’s NBA Play-In Tournament game.

-Jason Radowitz

First-Basket Scorer: Desmond Bane (+700)

Tuesday's late-night matchup features the No. 7 seed vs. No. 8 seed NBA Play-In Tournament game in the Western Conference between the Memphis Grizzlies and Golden State Warriors. We have multiple trends and stats pointing to one of these particular teams scoring first. 

The Grizzlies boasted a 70.7% win rate on opening tip-offs during the regular season, the second-best mark in the NBA. Rookie center Zach Edey gives Memphis a great chance at securing the first possession with his 7-foot-4, 305-pound frame. The Grizzlies also scored the first basket in 56.1% of games this year (fourth-best). 

Meanwhile, the Warriors had just a 42.7% win rate on opening tips this season. They also scored the first basket 45.1% of the time. These are both below-average rates relative to the rest of the league. Much of that has to do with Golden State rolling out a small-ball lineup with Draymond Green at center. 

On that note, Edey has a massive size advantage over Green for the opening tip. Green is giving up about eight inches to Edey head-to-head. Notably, that didn't matter when Memphis and Golden State faced off earlier this month, as Green won the tip over Edey and the Warriors scored first. 

That likely won't happen a second time, though. The Grizzlies and Warriors faced each other four times in the regular season. Memphis won the opening tip and scored the first points in three of those four matchups. 

As for Memphis, let's roll with Desmond Bane to score first. He leads the team in first shot percentage (23.2%), made first baskets (14) and first baskets per start (20.3%). Bane has also scored the first basket twice already against Golden State this season. 

-Dan Servodidio

Moses Moody More Than 1.5 Made Three-Pointers

When it comes to three-point defense, the Grizzlies are average, at best. They rank 14th in opponent three-point field goal percentage, but they're just 21st in the league in three-pointers allowed per game. Moses Moody has already cleared this number in all three of his games against the Grizzlies this season, so this is a gift from PrizePicks.

Moody averaged 1.7 made threes in the regular season, and he went 7-of-13 from deep against the Grizzlies. Though this is the postseason, the Grizzlies and Warriors are still likely to light up the scoreboard. Moody has had no trouble getting shots up even when other Warriors are hot.

-Phil Wood

Steph Curry 30+ Points (+105)

Steph Curry has been hit or miss against the Grizzlies this season, but he's on fire entering the postseason. Curry ended the year averaging 24.5 points per game, but in April, he averaged 29.1 points per game in eight contests. He scored at least 30 points in five of those eight games, and he dropped an incredible 52 against the Grizzlies on the first of the month.

Could the Grizzlies shut Curry down like they did twice earlier this season? Absolutely. On December 19th, Curry scored just two points, and he failed to make any of the six shots he attempted. But that game was a long time ago, and Curry is shooting lights out right now. In his last game against the Grizzlies, he made 12 of his 20 attempts from beyond the arc. The Grizzlies are allowing 116.9 points per game, so take advantage of this price and look for Curry to have a huge night at home.

-Phil Wood

Jimmy Butler 8+ Assists (+145)

There are player props more likely to hit on Tuesday, but the price for this prop makes this one of the best plays of the night. Jimmy Butler is averaging just 5.4 assists per game this season, but he's entering the postseason with at least seven assists in his last three games. In the season finale, Butler dished out nine assists in 48 minutes against the Los Angeles Clippers. 

Butler has only faced the Grizzlies once this season, dishing out only four assists in that game. However, he also scored 27 in that contest, his third-highest-scoring game since joining the Warriors. On Tuesday, I expect him to continue to look for his teammates like he did down the stretch, as he exploits a defense allowing 26.9 assists per game. Taking Butler to record seven assists is more likely, but the price is expensive. Therefore, I'll add the extra assist at this price in what I expect to be a high-scoring game.

-Phil Wood

Golden State Warriors vs. Memphis Grizzlies Same-Game Parlay

• Leg 1: Warriors Moneyline (-305)
• Leg 2: Warriors Team Total Over 118.5 Points (-115)
• Leg 3: Grizzlies Team Total Over 111.5 Points (-102)
• Leg 4: Jimmy Butler 1+ Three-Pointer (-245)