Will Rob Gronkowski Go Over/Under 599.5 Receiving Yards? (2020 NFL Player Prop Bets)

With training camps slated to begin at their regularly scheduled dates later this month, the 2020-21 NFL season, by all accounts, seems to be a go. While the exact restrictions and protocols that will be in place are still up in the air, the only change to the season thus far is the removal of two preseason games; a move that has been called for years before anyone had heard of Covid-19.

Making gains in popularity over the past couple years, as the emergence of legalized sports betting has become mainstream, are NFL season-long player props. The goal of the bet is to correctly predict that a player will go over or under a number set by bookmakers for a specific season-long statistic.

One of the hottest free agent moves of the last couple years is the topic of today’s piece, as tight end Rob Gronkowski comes out of retirement to join buddy and former quarterback Tom Brady in Tampa Bay.

Check out all of our 2020 NFL Player Prop Bets here.

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Will Rob Gronkowski go Over/Under 599.5 Receiving Yards?

Over 599.5 (-112) / Under 599.5 (-112) (odds via FanDuel Sportsbook)

When the NFL season officially gets underway in early September, it will have been nearly 19 full months since we last saw Gronkowski in a football uniform. In between, the weight fluctuations, usual off the field antics, and WWE appearances have kept his name in the headlines with constant speculation he could one day suit up again before officially calling it quits.

Well, I guess not all Twitter speculation is false.

While he won’t be dawning the blue and red he did for nine seasons in New England, his quarterback will be the same as Tom Brady looks to lead a new franchise to the Promised Land in Tampa.

Though it’s anyone’s guess how the two will perform without the regimented (and proven) system in New England, my hunch is that significant regression for both of them is on the horizon. As proven by countless players who have taken a year off, most recently LeVeon Bell and fellow tight end Jason Witten, it’s difficult, if not impossible, to return to the same levels of production, especially after nearly a decade of doing it the first go around.

Gronkowski, who was riddled with injuries even in his healthy years, hasn’t played all 16 regular-season games since 2011, and his last season in Foxborough saw him put up just 682 yards in a system that was proven. The tight end also never had to compete with two WR1 level receivers in New England for targets like he will in this offense with Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, and that’s assuming the rumored acquisition of Antonio Brown doesn’t materialize before September.

For my money, while Gronk and Brady pairing back up in the sunshine state should make for great TV and season-long headlines, I don’t expect New England-level production from a tight end that’s always had more interests off the field than on it.

Prediction: UNDER 599.5 Receiving Yards

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