WNBA Odds, Picks & Predictions: Sunday (10/13)
The WNBA Finals are here and the New York Liberty host the Minnesota Lynx in Game 2 tonight in Brooklyn. Minnesota trailed by 15 points in the 4th quarter before ending regulation on an 18-3 run and eventually prevailed in overtime for the Game 1 victory. Can they replicate that road victory and earn their fifth win in six chances against these otherwise dominant New York Liberty and take a commanding 2-0 lead home to Target Center for Game 3?
Here is my best pick for Sunday, October 13.
Get instant alerts when a line reaches your target via the BettingPros App >>
Sunday’s Best WNBA Picks
(Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)
Minnesota Lynx (+265) at New York Liberty (-7.5) | O/U 162.5 (-114/-106)
Leonie Fiebich went off to the tune of 17 points in Game 1 on the back of five long balls. Fiebich paid +200 to score 10+ points in Game 1, mainly because she had scored 16 total points in four games against the Lynx this season, including being blanked twice. That all changed last time out as Fiebich drained 5-of-9 three-pointers, pulled down six rebounds, and dished out a team-high four assists in 38 minutes on the court. Fiebich has gone 4-3 against this number in seven games this postseason and Game 1’s 14 shot attempts marked a career-high and just the third time she has reached double-digits in that department.
Seeing as how Fiebich dropped 17 in Game 1, the fact you can still get +350 on her to score 15+ is wild as Vegas continues to dare her to cost them money so feel free to sprinkle a little on that as well, if you’re feeling froggy. While we are at it, for those of you feeling like throwing caution to the wind today, +265 is simply too much value in the Lynx moneyline. As I alluded to earlier, these Liberty are 1-4 against the Lynx (.200) while going a combined 36-6 (.857) against the rest of the league. No one else can touch the Liberty this season but the Lynx seem to have the formula. Maybe it’s the yen and yang of New York’s hot starts and lead building and Minnesota’s wearing down of opponents defensively to pull them out in the ever deepening waters as the second half wears on. Whatever the reason, Minnesota has had too much success against the Liberty across the entirety of the season that when you consider they are 4-1 against the Liberty this year, came back from down 15 late in Game 1 despite the rest disparity and now they are even bigger dogs, evenly rested, on a floor they aren’t afraid to win on, I feel a fiduciary responsibility to recommend at least a sprinkle on the Lynx moneyline. Again, I’m, not saying Vegas isn’t right to favor the Lib heavily but +265 seems like an unnecessary risk for them under the circumstances.
Jonquel Jones once again cashed her scoring and combo Overs in Game 1. The former WNBA MVP and GWU Athletic Hall of Famer has somehow quietly averaged 15.0 points and 8.9 rebounds through seven games in this postseason. She has scored more than 13 points in 5-of-7 games so far, including five of her last six contests, highlighted by a 24-point explosion in Game 1 of these WNBA Finals. If you take her outlier opening game of these playoffs where she only played 22 minutes in an 83-69 laugher against Atlanta, those numbers jump even higher to 16.0 points and 9.2 rebounds.
Jones is 4-2 against this Points+Rebounds combo in her last six games. Additionally, her 10 rebounds in Game 1 show it is easier to find rebounds against these Lynx than it was against A’ja Wilson and the Aces. Jones was the only player in Game 1 to reach double digits in rebounds and she should once again be among the game leaders making her Points+Rebounds combo still easily cashable even with the boost from 21.5 to 23.5 between Games 1 and 2.
WNBA Picks: Leonie Fiebich 10+ Points (+100) & Jonquel Jones Over 23.5 Points + Rebounds (-108)
Other Bets to Consider:
Leonie Fiebich 15+ Points (+350)
Lynx Moneyline (+265)
For more information on how to bet futures, check out our Betting 101 series>>
Luke Monaldo is a featured writer at BettingPros. Follow him on Twitter @MoKnowsSports and Discord @alydar1227 AKA The GIFTing Crooner. For more from Luke, check out his archive.