WNBA Odds, Picks & Predictions: Tuesday (6/24)
There is a massive slate of WNBA games on Tuesday. Eight teams are in action with many of the league's biggest stars taking center stage. Let's take a deeper look at a few of these matchups for our WNBA best bets for Tuesday, June 24th.
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Tuesday’s Best WNBA Picks & Bets
(Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)
Atlanta Dream at Dallas Wings
If you like scoring, this is the game for you. Atlanta has gone 8-6 to the over on the season, with the total going over in each of their last three games by an average of 14.7 points per game. Dallas has also been an over factory with an 8-7 record, with four of their last five going over in a recent run.
For Atlanta, it has been all about the offense. In a league with some truly elite units, the Dream sit third in offensive rating. This has been driven by an offense with the lowest turnover rate in the league and a strong rebounding presence. They should have their way with a poor Dallas offense that gives up 87.1 points per game (PPG), one of the worst marks in the league.
However, Dallas should be able to score, too. Since Paige Bueckers rejoined the lineup five games ago, the Wings have managed to produce 80+ points in each contest. This is a big reason they've had a lot of overs. The Wings move the ball and shoot the ball better with Bueckers on the floor, and I expect nothing different in this game. Take the over and enjoy another high-scoring affair.
Pick: Over 168 Points (-114)
Los Angeles Sparks at Chicago Sky
Both of these teams have fallen into a June swoon. Los Angeles is 2-5 in the month with a 2-5 against the spread (ATS) record. Chicago is just 1-6 straight up (SU) with a similar 2-5 ATS record. However, there's reason to believe that one of these teams could be turning it around soon.
Los Angeles is perhaps not as bad as their record indicates. They've had the most difficult strength of schedule so far with their last three games being against two of the best teams in the league, Minnesota and Seattle. This matchup with the Sky will be a welcome sight.
These two teams already played in May, with the Sparks winning by 13 at home. The Sparks made 13 out of 27 threes in that game. While I don't expect quite that same success, they should get up a good volume of shots because the Sky give up 27.5 attempts per game. Add to it that Chicago allows the highest effective field goal rate (eFG%) in the league, and I don't see how they stay in this game with a fairly dynamic offense like the Sparks.
Pick: Sparks -5.5 (-110)
Indiana Fever at Seattle Storm
The injury bug has been brutal for the Fever, almost as brutal as this West Coast road trip. In their last two contests, they've lost to the Valkyries and Aces in games where the defense just did not show up. The foul troubles for Indiana reared their head again, giving up 19 from the free-throw line in both games. This is an issue for a team that is in the top four in allowed free-throw rate.
Seattle comes into this game as perhaps the hottest team in the league. They've won six out of their last seven games while going 6-2 ATS in their last eight. They've catapulted themselves into the upper echelon of WNBA contenders after a rough start.
Seattle is an incredibly efficient shooting team with the second-highest field-goal rate at 46.8% and a turnover rate of 14.5%, which is the second-lowest in the league. Very few teams seem like they can slow them down, but the Fever may be their kryptonite.
Seattle has one of the lowest free-throw attempt rates in the league, so they're not equipped to exploit a big weakness of the Fever's defense. Indiana is also a team that allows the lowest field-goal rate at the rim in the league, a place where the Storm thrive. I like the Fever to get out of their funk and cool down the scorching-hot Storm.
Pick: Fever +3.5 (-112)