WNBA Picks & Predictions: Aces vs. Lynx (Tuesday)
Tuesday’s WNBA slate is jam-packed with 12 teams in action across six games. With so many games on the schedule, it is a basketball fan’s dream.
Let's deep dive into the Aces versus Lynx matchup and share our best WNBA bets for Tuesday, June 17th.
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Tuesday’s Best WNBA Picks & Bets: Aces vs. Lynx
(Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)
Las Vegas Aces at Minnesota Lynx WNBA Picks
After their first defeat of the season last week, Minnesota bounced back with a healthy 101-78 win over the Sparks. This has been a common theme this season. Not the Lynx winning necessarily, but taking care of business against the bottom half teams in the WNBA.
With that win and -11.5 cover, the Lynx improved to 4-2 against the spread (ATS) against teams in the bottom half of Net Ratings. In those games, the Lynx have averaged a -10.5 spread with an average margin of victory of 13 points. It may be surprising for some WNBA fans to hear, but the Aces are a bottom-half team this year.
The Aces have stumbled out of the gate. They're just 5-5 straight up (SU) and 3-7 ATS. This hasn't been the result of a loaded early schedule either. Their strength of schedule trails just New York, Minnesota and Atlanta as one of the four easiest in the league. Their worrisome offense is the issue.
Last year, the Aces were an elite offensive club. They led the league in both effective field-goal rate (eFG%) and turnover rate. Although the turnover rate is still in the top two in the league, the eFG% has dropped into the territory of Chicago and Connecticut as one of the worst in the league.
The Aces will be without A'ja Wilson on Tuesday, which will be a huge blow. She leads the Aces in points, rebounds, assists, steals and blocks. That's not the kind of player you can replace. Wilson’s status is already baked into this line, but against a Minnesota team that has feasted on the famished, I don't see the Aces keeping this one close enough to cover.
Pick: Lynx -12.5 (-110)