WNBA Picks & Predictions: Fever vs. Dream (Tuesday)
Commissioner's Cup play continues on Tuesday with two big matchups. The Fever take on the Dream in Atlanta while the Sky go up against the undefeated Liberty in New York. Let's take a deeper look into these games for some Tuesday WNBA picks and best bets for Fever vs. Dream.
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Tuesday's Best WNBA Picks & Bets: Fever vs. Dream
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Indiana Fever at Atlanta Dream WNBA Picks & Bets
The big headline here is the availability of Caitlin Clark. She'll be out yet again as she creeps closer to a return. Without Clark, the Fever started off slow but have picked it up with back-to-back wins.
Despite the 4-4 record to start the season, the Fever have a +10.3 NRtg, good enough for third best in the league, behind only the Lynx and Liberty. While it's no surprise that Indiana boasts the fourth ranked ORtg, they've actually been most impressive on the defensive end where they rank only behind the Liberty in DRtg.
The Fever have predicated this defense around forcing turnovers and allowing their opponents to shoot a low percentage from the floor. The 54.2% shooting they allow at the rim is 10% below the league average and the best mark in the WNBA. These numbers are all impressive, but this plays right into the Dream's offensive style.
Atlanta is one of the worst teams shooting at the rim, but they're a strong offensive rebounding team with a 28.6% rate, and they take care of the ball with a top three turnover rate. In the Dream's win over Indiana last month, they out rebounded the Fever 37-32 and committed only 11 turnovers, winning despite getting outshot.
Even without Clark returning to the court, this number is inflated. I'll back the home favorite to cover in what is a very good matchup for their offense.
Pick: Dream -4.5 (-110)