WNBA Picks & Predictions: Friday (5/29)
It's still early, but the WNBA is getting off to another fantastic start. With star players and elite teams playing every night, there is always plenty of action to bet on. Here are some best bets for Friday's games.
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Friday’s Best WNBA Picks & Predictions
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Los Angeles Sparks at Washington Mystics
It's early into the season, and both the Sparks and Mystics have burrowed their way into the middle of the standings. They've done so in vastly different ways. The Sparks have one of the most explosive offenses in the league and are second in the league in ORtg early in the season. However, on the other end of the floor, things haven't been as strong. Their DRtg ranks dead last in the WNBA. All of this has led to 187.5 PPG being scored in Sparks games this season, the highest in the league.
The Mystics play at the slowest pace in the league and are in the lower half of the league in eFG%. However, they've gone 3-3 to the over because their offense is still able to score points because of a very high OReb rate and a near league-leading FT/FGA ratio. Their defense has been stout, but they've shown weakness against strong offenses. They allowed 92 or more points in four of six games, including losses to Dallas and New York as well a high scoring win over Indiana.
The Sparks have allowed at least 87 points in every single game they've played this season, which includes games against the Aces and Mercury, who sit about in the middle of the pack in the league as far as ORtg. This has led to an impressive 5-1 record to the Over. This game is the lowest total the Sparks have had all season, but given the Mystics’ track record of allowing crooked numbers to their opponents, this game screams another over.
Pick: Over 168.5 Total Points (-110)
Minnesota Lynx at Chicago Sky
The Lynx have picked up right where they left off in the 2025 season with another strong start to the 2026 season. They've raced out to a 5-2 SU and 6-1 ATS record, including a 3-0 record on the road. Minnesota has done this by being elite on both ends of the floor. The defensive eFG% is almost 2% lower than that of any other team in the league. On the offensive side, they boast the second-best eFG% in the league. It's no wonder they've had such success.
Chicago made over their roster in the offseason with the hope that they would be more competitive. For the most part, they have. They sit closer to the middle of the league on both the offensive and defensive ends, and they take care of the ball better than almost any other team in the league, and they like to play at one of the fastest paces in the league.
The Sky really have not played well at home, though. They're 0-3 both SU and ATS in the games in front of their home crowd, which also happen to be the last three games they've played. None of them were particularly close, and one was against this Lynx team, the second meeting of the season between these two.
It's a bit of a scheduling oddity for these two teams to face off three times already this early in the season, but it means they're two teams comfortable with each other. I think that comfortability will show up on the offensive end. The Lynx are the better team right now, and that ATS record is no fluke. Expect the Lynx to continue the Sky's home woes in a high-scoring affair.
Picks: Lynx -4.5 (-105) & Over 170.5 Totsl Points (-110)