Top 5 WNBA Player Prop Bet Odds & Picks: Friday (8/16)
We kick off the weekend with three contests across the association. Things get started at 7:30 p.m. EST, with Phoenix in Indiana, and Seattle in Atlanta. The evening wraps up at 9 p.m. in Connecticut, where the Sun host the Dallas Wings.
Without any further preamble, let's jump right into some of our favorite selections for August 16. Here are our top WNBA player prop bet picks for Friday's contests.
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Friday’s Best WNBA Player Prop Bet Picks
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Aliyah Boston Over 16.5 Points (-130)
With the Mercury playing in their second road game in as many nights, and the Fever looking to start the post-Olympic break with a victory at home, this appears to be a great spot for Aliyah Boston.
Prior to the break, Boston scored 17 points or more in 6-of-7 games; including a 21-point performance against Phoenix at home on July 12. In an earlier matchup against the Mercury on June 30, she scored 17 points.
This number comes across as a tad low. Oddsmakers must feel the second-year forward will show some rust after the hiatus against a team that owns the fourth-worst defensive rating in the league. We simply do not see it that way.
Phoenix gives up the second-most points off of second-chance opportunities, over 35 points in the paint, and allows over 30 field goals each game at a 43.5% clip.
Nneka Ogwumike Under 17.5 Points (-115)
The crafty veteran forward faces off against an Atlanta team who seemingly just couldn't find their way into the win column before the break. The Dream will once again have the services of their top-scorer in Rhyne Howard, yet even with this addition, this seems like it could be a very one-sided affair.
Nneka Ogwumike has been nothing short of impactful in her first season playing for Seattle. She is leading the team in points (12th amongst the WNBA) while shooting over 52% from the field.
Our issue with the contest tonight is based on the Seattle forward not having to produce high-volume scoring results for the team to have success. In the last nine games played, the Storm are 8-1. Over that span, Ogwumike cleared 17.5 points in only three of those contests.
If the opponent were a bit tougher, this would certainly be a different selection. We just don't feel the score will justify Ogwumike having to play over 30 minutes.
Rhyne Howard Under 15.5 Points (-105)
Seattle heads into A-Town for a matchup against the Dream. Atlanta is in serious need of a win after losing eight straight games, with only one victory in their last 12.
Having said that, Seattle is one of the more hounding defenses in the league, meaning it could be another rough day at the office for Atlanta. It's due to this fact, we feel Rhyne Howard falls slightly short of the 15.5 asking price.
Howard could be limited once again in what will only be the second full game back since returning from injury, having only played 23 minutes on July 12. To her credit, she managed to score 15 points in that short time on the court.
Seattle owns the third-best defensive rating in the WNBA, they hold opponents to the second-lowest field-goal percentage (41.6%) and only allow 6.5 three-pointers per game at a 31.4% clip.
There will be much better spots for the Bronze Medal Olympic Champion in the future.
DeWanna Bonner Over 16.5 Points (-125)
The Sun should be getting a boost in the scoring department via the recent trade that sent Marina Mabrey from Chicago to Connecticut. This should also release some pressure off of the team's leading scoring option, DeWanna Bonner.
However, the team will be without Dijonai Carrington. This suggests Bonner will step right back into a full-scoring role against a Dallas team who concede the most points in the league on a nightly basis.
Albeit, the veteran guard hasn't fared well against the Wings in their first two contests, however, the pace of this game could be furious. This should translate into a ton of scoring opportunities for Bonner.
Connecticut's leading scorer produced 22 points or more in the last 3-of-5 games before heading into the break.
Arike Ogunbowale Over 4.5 Assists (-110)
On the other side of the floor, we have possibly our favorite selection of the evening. Dallas is slowly getting back to full strength, and the release of Odyssey Simms may have put the bow on Arike Ogunbowale surpassing 4.5 assists tonight.
The Dallas guard is averaging 5.2 assists on the season, including a stretch of three games just before the break where she averaged 8.0 assists.
In the two previous contests against Connecticut, Ogunbowale has finished with five and seven assists on an average of 37.5 minutes played. With the return of Satu Sabally, the Dallas All-Star pairs up with a fantastic option who can finish at the basket or step out for a shot on a drive-and-kick play.
Enjoy the games tonight, have a good weekend, and good luck with your picks!