WNBA Player Prop Bet Odds & Picks: Wednesday (9/11)
The playoff race is heating up and we have a three-game slate tonight in the WNBA. Last time wasn't so great but we hit a +255 bet. There are still plenty of games to be played and plenty of bets to be made. Remember that lineup changes and injury news is an ever-evolving beast that needs to be tracked constantly if you want to stay ahead of the market. Another way is by shopping around for the best odds. Different books will have different odds. The difference between -110 and +100 may seem small but over the entire season, those little differences add up quickly. Now let's get to today's best bets.
Last time: 1-1 | Season: 15-14
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Wednesday’s Best WNBA Player Prop Bets
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
A'ja Wilson 27+ Points (-105)
It's pretty cool we live in a WNBA world where the Las Vegas Aces against the Indiana Fever opened as a near pick 'em. Sure the line has moved in the Aces’ favor but I just wanted to acknowledge how the playoff race is going to be awesome. For a simple prop to start today I'm going with one of the MVP front runners, A'ja Wilson. The Aces center has averaged over 27 points a game on the season and has scored as much in three of her last five games and two of her last three. She has gone over the number in both matches against Indiana this season and the Fever have only sped up their game as the season has progressed, ranking first in the league in pace of play. At the same time, Indiana ranks ninth in defensive efficiency so not only will this be a game of high opportunity, but in a plus matchup as well for Wilson. If you want to tease it out feel free to go 30+ points as she's covered that margin in three of her last five games as well.
Chennedy Carter 22+ Points (-110)
With Angel Reese hurt, Carter is only going to continue growing her offensive role and it doesn't exactly seem like the books have fully accounted for that. Two of her last three games have resulted in 25+ point outings and they have come against superior opponents than the 11-24 Washington Mystics. Since the All-Star break, the Sky offense has been much better at home and they've been in Chicago for a bit now so boast a bit of a rest advantage. Last game at home against this team, Carter posted 25 points without even attempting a three-pointer and will expect higher usage and shot attempts, I have to imagine she's going to far exceed her seasonal averages for the rest of the year. If that is the case, her point props will only continue to rise so I see this as a buy-low of sorts.
Jewell Loyd Under 20.5 Points (-113)
Can't say I expected to ride three straight scoring props but here we are. For a game where a team is a double-digit road favorite, it's always difficult to judge player props precisely. The Sparks’ stats are pretty rough, but we know this. It's the Seattle stats that concern me. Since the break, Seattle ranks eighth in offensive efficiency and that drops to 11th on the road. Loyd has averaged over 20 points a game on the season but she hasn't reached the 21-point threshold in three straight matchups and six of her last eight. The offense is missing something right now and surprisingly the Sparks slow down their pace a lot at home, so I don't expect this to be as high of a pace-up spot as you'd expect. The Seattle guard does a lot of her scoring from beyond the arc, which is actually where the Sparks defense is arguably best, allowing the third-fewest number of perimeter attempts to opposing teams. It's scary to fade a player on a team that's such a high favorite but this seems to be a solid zag while everyone else zigs.
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