WNBA Player Props & Bets: Friday (6/27)
There are five WNBA games tonight, and I'm looking at three props from three different contests. First, will Rhyne Howard continue to be a menace offensively when her Atlanta Dream faces the Minnesota Lynx? Can Caitlin Clark break out of her shooting funk when the Indiana Fever battle the Dallas Wings? What should we expect from Alyssa Thomas on the glass when her Phoenix Mercury takes on the New York Liberty?
Here are the best WNBA player prop bets for Friday, June 27th.
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Friday’s Best WNBA Player Props & Bets
(Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)
Rhyne Howard Under 16.5 Points (-106)
Rhyne Howard is the Dream's second-leading scorer, behind only Allisha Gray. While Gray has struggled over her past few games, Howard has been solid, scoring at least 22 points in back-to-back contests. Howard is now averaging 17.7 points per game. It may be a little shocking to see her total set a full point below her season average since she has the hot hand.
When you look at this matchup, though, it makes sense. The Lynx have the top-scoring defense in the league, allowing just 73.6 points per game. And even though Howard played well on Tuesday, the Lynx managed just 55 points against the fourth-worst scoring defense in the league. If those shooting woes continue, the Lynx are good enough to also clamp down on Howard, a player who has shot worse than 30% from the field in two of her last four games. Even if the Dream gets it together offensively, this is still a tough matchup for a player who has scored 16 or fewer in eight of her 15 games.
Caitlin Clark Under 2.5 Made Three-Pointers (+112)
Caitlin Clark didn't play last night, so she is one of the few Fever players who won't be impacted by tonight's game being the second of a back-to-back. Still, she has shot horribly from three-point range of late, making it hard to trust her even against the third-worst three-point shooting defense in the league.
Some of you may be thinking that this is Caitlin Clark we're talking about. Surely, if anyone can break out a funk, it's her. But we need to take into account just how poorly she has shot from deep over her last three games. She is just 1-of-23 from deep in her last three games, and the only time she made a three, she went 1-of-10 from beyond the arc in the game. This has brought her three-point shooting percentage down to 29.5%. She is currently averaging 2.6 three-pointers per game. The Wings are a good team to get hot against, but with the price for this under at better than +110 odds, I'll back Clark to continue to struggle.
Alyssa Thomas 8+ Rebounds (+130)
The first time the Mercury and Liberty played each other this season, Alyssa Thomas exploded for 15 rebounds. The total was her most of the season, and it marked just the second time all year that she grabbed at least 10 boards in a single game. Despite that success, which came just last Thursday, Thomas' total is set at just 6.5 tonight, and the price for the over is set at -146 at FanDuel Sportsbook.
Even though Thomas had just three rebounds in her last game, and she has grabbed six or fewer boards in four games this season, I find it hard to believe she will struggle to hit at least seven tonight. Last Thursday proved that this is a matchup she can take advantage of. However, there is no value in taking her to grab just seven rebounds, as the price is too high, and the risk isn't worth the reward.
Therefore, I'll take this alternate 8+ line. Thomas is averaging just 7.2 rebounds per game this season, but she has grabbed at least eight boards in four of her 10 games. She also has a pretty high floor, as she has pulled down at least five boards in eight of her 10 games. This is far from a lock, but the value is too good to pass up.
Phil Wood is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Phil, check out his archive and follow him @Phil_Wood_Jr.